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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Magnus Cedenblad won · U-DEC R3
Elo1491
Elo1360
Scott Askham

Magnus CedenbladvsScott AskhamUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · Saturday, October 4, 2014Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Magnus Cedenblad won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMagnus Cedenblad: WrestlervsScott Askham: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Magnus Cedenblad wins(77.6%)

Actual result: Magnus Cedenblad wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Magnus Cedenblad at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Scott Askham is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Magnus Cedenblad has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Scott Askham has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Scott Askham (53.5%).
  • Magnus Cedenblad has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Magnus Cedenblad
Red Corner
VS
Scott Askham
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
1491
Elo
1360
44
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'5"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Magnus Cedenblad
oldest →
L
SUBvs Francis Carmont · Apr 12
W
SUBvs Jared Hamman · Aug 13
W
SUBvs Krzysztof Jotko · May 14
W
KOvs Garreth McLellan · May 16
L
KOvs Jack Marshman · Nov 16
latest
Scott AskhamL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Antonio Dos Santos · Jun 15
L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 15
W
KOvs Chris Dempsey · Feb 16
L
vs Jack Hermansson · Sep 16
L
DECvs Bradley Scott · Mar 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Magnus CedenbladMetricScott Askham
2.38
Strikes / min
3.03
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
40%
Strike defense
52%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
0.44
66%
Takedown defense
65%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1520 vs 1500Strikes10.7 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts1.00 vs —Form0.8 vs 0.0
Magnus CedenbladScott Askham

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Magnus Cedenblad(6 fights)Scott Askham(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +131.0|Blue -131.0
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Magnus CedenbladTargetScott Askham

By target zone

10
53% acc · 43%
Head
16
73% acc · 38%
5
71% acc · 22%
Body
12
86% acc · 29%
8
100% acc · 35%
Leg
14
93% acc · 33%

By position

10
56% acc · 43%
Distance
16
70% acc · 38%
11
85% acc · 48%
Clinch
24
92% acc · 57%
2
67% acc · 9%
Ground
2
100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Magnus Cedenblad rounds
0
even
1
Scott Askham rounds
Round 1Magnus Cedenblad edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control4:15
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Scott Askham edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control2:03
Knockdowns0
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:53Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Magnus Cedenblad edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control3:31
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:38Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
23 / 34
Sig Strikes
42 / 51
67.7%
Sig Str %
79%
179 / 193
Total Strikes
86 / 95
3 / 6
TDs
0 / 1
50%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
9:49
Ctrl Time
2:31

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Scott Askham7 / 1027 / 300 / 00
1Magnus Cedenblad9 / 1162 / 641 / 20
2Scott Askham27 / 3138 / 420 / 10
2Magnus Cedenblad8 / 1145 / 481 / 20
3Scott Askham8 / 1021 / 230 / 00
3Magnus Cedenblad6 / 1272 / 811 / 20

Magnus Cedenblad

StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6

Scott Askham

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6