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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Macy Chiasson won · U-DEC R3
Elo1474
Elo1495

Macy ChiassonvsShanna YoungUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · Saturday, February 15, 2020Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA

Official fight result

Macy Chiasson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Macy Chiasson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Macy Chiasson at -800 American odds

+$13 profit

$113 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Macy Chiasson has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Macy Chiasson
Red Corner
VS
Shanna Young
Blue Corner
-800
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+550
(15%)
1474
Elo
1495
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Macy ChiassonL3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24
W
KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25
L
vs Yana Santos · Oct 25
L
vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26
latest
Shanna Young
oldest →
L
KOvs Stephanie Egger · Oct 21
W
KOvs Gina Mazany · Apr 22
L
vs Miranda Maverick · Nov 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Macy ChiassonMetricShanna Young
3.21
Strikes / min
3.18
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
4.88
44%
Strike defense
43%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
0.00
62%
Takedown defense
53%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.45Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap-1.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1526 vs 1500Strikes3.8 vs 3.8Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs 0.0
Macy ChiassonShanna Young

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Macy Chiasson(10 fights)Shanna Young(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -21.1|Blue +21.1
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Macy ChiassonTargetShanna Young

By target zone

48
40% acc · 56%
Head
32
56% acc · 80%
38
83% acc · 44%
Body
7
58% acc · 18%
0
Leg
1
50% acc · 3%

By position

16
33% acc · 19%
Distance
24
44% acc · 60%
45
74% acc · 52%
Clinch
16
94% acc · 40%
25
45% acc · 29%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Macy Chiasson rounds
0
even
0
Shanna Young rounds
Round 1Macy Chiasson edged it
Sig. strikes63
Takedowns1
Control0:44
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 2Macy Chiasson edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control3:16
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Macy Chiasson edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control4:33
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
86 / 166
Sig Strikes
40 / 71
47.7%
Sig Str %
68.7%
154 / 253
Total Strikes
50 / 83
3 / 8
TDs
0 / 1
52.7%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
8:33
Ctrl Time
0:22

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Shanna Young31 / 5539 / 650 / 10
1Macy Chiasson63 / 11376 / 1261 / 40
2Shanna Young7 / 149 / 160 / 00
2Macy Chiasson11 / 3041 / 671 / 30
3Shanna Young2 / 22 / 20 / 00
3Macy Chiasson12 / 2337 / 601 / 10

Macy Chiasson

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14

Shanna Young

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4