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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Macy Chiasson won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1474

Elo1394

Macy ChiassonvsSarah MorasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · Saturday, May 4, 2019Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Macy Chiasson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:22

Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(81.6%)

Actual result: Macy Chiasson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Macy Chiasson at -700 American odds

+$14 profit

$114 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Macy Chiasson has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Macy Chiasson has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Macy Chiasson

Red Corner

Sarah Moras

Blue Corner

-700

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+500

(17%)

1474

Elo

1394

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Macy ChiassonL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24

KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25

vs Yana Santos · Oct 25

vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26

latest

Sarah MorasL2 streak

oldest →

vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 18

vs Talita Bernardo · Oct 18

KOvs Liana Jojua · Sep 19

vs Sijara Eubanks · May 20

vs Vanessa Melo · Jan 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Macy ChiassonMetricSarah Moras

3.21

Strikes / min

2.28

2.76

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

44%

Strike defense

50%

1.87

TDs / 15 min

0.67

62%

Takedown defense

33%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.45Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Macy ChiassonSarah Moras

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Macy Chiasson(10 fights)Sarah Moras(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +79.7|Blue -79.7

Recent Form

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -126.0|Blue +126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Macy ChiassonTargetSarah Moras

By target zone

62% acc · 88%

Head

82% acc · 100%

100% acc · 12%

Body

Leg

By position

50% acc · 2%

Distance

100% acc · 11%

Clinch

66% acc · 98%

Ground

80% acc · 89%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Macy Chiasson rounds

even

Sarah Moras rounds

Round 1Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:08

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:46Control

Round 2Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control2:09

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 66

Sig Strikes

9 / 11

64.5%

Sig Str %

81%

82 / 107

Total Strikes

29 / 38

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:17

Ctrl Time

3:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sarah Moras	9 / 11	26 / 31	1 / 1	1
1	Macy Chiasson	20 / 32	47 / 59	0 / 0	0
2	Sarah Moras	0 / 0	3 / 7	0 / 2	0
2	Macy Chiasson	23 / 34	35 / 48	0 / 0	0

Macy Chiasson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Sarah Moras

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9