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Women's Featherweight

3 Rounds

Macy Chiasson won · S-DEC R3

Elo1474

Elo1516

Macy ChiassonvsNorma DumontUFC Prediction Result

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · Saturday, May 7, 2022Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Macy Chiasson won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMacy Chiasson: Well-roundedvsNorma Dumont: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(55.4%)

Actual result: Macy Chiasson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Macy Chiasson at +180 American odds

+$180 profit

$280 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Norma Dumont has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Macy Chiasson has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Macy Chiasson

Red Corner

Norma Dumont

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1474

Elo

1516

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Macy ChiassonL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24

KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25

vs Yana Santos · Oct 25

vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26

latest

Norma Dumont

oldest →

vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23

vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24

vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25

DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Macy ChiassonMetricNorma Dumont

3.21

Strikes / min

3.85

2.76

Strikes absorbed / min

2.33

44%

Strike defense

64%

1.87

TDs / 15 min

1.43

62%

Takedown defense

71%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.45Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap+1.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Macy ChiassonNorma Dumont

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Macy Chiasson(10 fights)Norma Dumont(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -42.2|Blue +42.2

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Macy ChiassonTargetNorma Dumont

By target zone

24% acc · 44%

Head

45% acc · 71%

62% acc · 25%

Body

80% acc · 21%

59% acc · 31%

Leg

60% acc · 8%

By position

32% acc · 84%

Distance

45% acc · 74%

100% acc · 16%

Clinch

77% acc · 26%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Macy Chiasson rounds

even

Norma Dumont rounds

Round 1Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:02

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control3:13

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 3Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns3

Control4:19

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 89

Sig Strikes

38 / 75

38.3%

Sig Str %

55.7%

131 / 194

Total Strikes

96 / 136

6 / 12

TDs

0 / 0

64.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:34

Ctrl Time

0:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Norma Dumont	16 / 41	21 / 46	0 / 0
1	Macy Chiasson	19 / 57	19 / 57	1 / 1
2	Norma Dumont	10 / 17	33 / 42	0 / 0
2	Macy Chiasson	10 / 25	42 / 62	2 / 6
3	Norma Dumont	12 / 17	42 / 48	0 / 0
3	Macy Chiasson	3 / 7	70 / 75	3 / 5

Macy Chiasson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Norma Dumont

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12