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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Lina Lansberg won · U-DEC R3

Elo1474

Elo1449

Macy ChiassonvsLina LansbergUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Saturday, September 28, 2019Copenhagen, Denmark

Official fight result

Lina Lansberg won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(67.9%)

Actual result: Lina Lansberg wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Macy Chiasson at -430 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Lina Lansberg enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Macy Chiasson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Macy Chiasson has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Macy Chiasson

Red Corner

Lina Lansberg

Blue Corner

-430

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+345

(22%)

1474

Elo

1449

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Macy ChiassonL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24

KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25

vs Yana Santos · Oct 25

vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26

latest

Lina LansbergL4 streak

oldest →

vs Tonya Evinger · Jun 19

vs Sara McMann · Jan 20

vs Pannie Kianzad · Apr 22

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 22

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Macy ChiassonMetricLina Lansberg

3.21

Strikes / min

2.69

2.76

Strikes absorbed / min

3.87

44%

Strike defense

44%

1.87

TDs / 15 min

0.52

62%

Takedown defense

47%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.45Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap-1.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Macy ChiassonLina Lansberg

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Macy Chiasson(10 fights)Lina Lansberg(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.7|Blue -24.7

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Macy ChiassonTargetLina Lansberg

By target zone

18% acc · 15%

Head

50% acc · 86%

91% acc · 81%

Body

100% acc · 10%

50% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

22% acc · 15%

Distance

25% acc · 10%

76% acc · 85%

Clinch

53% acc · 38%

Ground

69% acc · 52%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Macy Chiasson rounds

even

Lina Lansberg rounds

Round 1Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control4:34

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Lina Lansberg edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:43

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:36Control

Round 3Lina Lansberg edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:32

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 47

Sig Strikes

21 / 39

53.3%

Sig Str %

45%

58 / 94

Total Strikes

49 / 91

0 / 4

TDs

2 / 4

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:49

Ctrl Time

7:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lina Lansberg	1 / 5	9 / 20	0 / 0
1	Macy Chiasson	13 / 19	30 / 47	0 / 2
2	Lina Lansberg	5 / 9	13 / 29	1 / 2
2	Macy Chiasson	6 / 13	17 / 28	0 / 0
3	Lina Lansberg	15 / 25	27 / 42	1 / 2
3	Macy Chiasson	7 / 15	11 / 19	0 / 2

Macy Chiasson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Lina Lansberg

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights11