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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won · S-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1488

Lyman GoodvsElizeu Zaleski dos SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · Saturday, July 22, 2017Uniondale, New York, USA

Official fight result

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLyman Good: Pressure fightervsElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Lyman Good wins(52.2%)

Actual result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lyman Good at -150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Lyman Good

Red Corner

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1492

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lyman Good

oldest →

KOvs Andrew Craig · Jul 15

KOvs Ben Saunders · Nov 18

SUBvs Demian Maia · Feb 19

KOvs Chance Rencountre · Nov 19

vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 20

latest

Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23

vs Randy Brown · Jun 24

KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25

KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lyman GoodMetricElizeu Zaleski dos Santos

5.34

Strikes / min

4.16

4.01

Strikes absorbed / min

3.56

63%

Strike defense

55%

0.27

TDs / 15 min

0.79

75%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.33evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lyman GoodElizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lyman Good(6 fights)Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.0|Blue -4.0

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -2.6|Blue +2.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +444.0|Blue -444.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lyman GoodTargetElizeu Zaleski dos Santos

By target zone

39% acc · 76%

Head

31% acc · 67%

94% acc · 20%

Body

59% acc · 16%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

88% acc · 17%

By position

39% acc · 72%

Distance

34% acc · 81%

83% acc · 27%

Clinch

76% acc · 19%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lyman Good rounds

even

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rounds

Round 1Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:34

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:50Control

Round 2Lyman Good edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:02

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

75 / 165

Sig Strikes

83 / 219

45%

Sig Str %

37.3%

89 / 182

Total Strikes

84 / 220

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 7

100%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

0:36

Ctrl Time

1:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	23 / 59	23 / 59	1 / 3
1	Lyman Good	21 / 44	30 / 54	1 / 1
2	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	26 / 70	27 / 71	0 / 3
2	Lyman Good	31 / 61	34 / 65	0 / 0
3	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	34 / 90	34 / 90	0 / 1
3	Lyman Good	23 / 60	25 / 63	0 / 0

Lyman Good

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights15