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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Lyman Good won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1379

Lyman GoodvsBen SaundersUFC Prediction Result

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Saturday, November 3, 2018New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Lyman Good won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:32

Style matchupLyman Good: Pressure fightervsBen Saunders: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Lyman Good wins(53.6%)

Actual result: Lyman Good wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lyman Good at -630 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ben Saunders enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Lyman Good is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ben Saunders has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Ben Saunders threatens submissions; Lyman Good has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Lyman Good has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Lyman Good

Red Corner

Ben Saunders

Blue Corner

-630

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+465

(18%)

1492

Elo

1379

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lyman Good

oldest →

KOvs Andrew Craig · Jul 15

vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jul 17

SUBvs Demian Maia · Feb 19

KOvs Chance Rencountre · Nov 19

vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 20

latest

Ben SaundersL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alan Jouban · Feb 18

KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 18

SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18

KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19

KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lyman GoodMetricBen Saunders

5.34

Strikes / min

3.23

4.01

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

63%

Strike defense

51%

0.27

TDs / 15 min

0.20

75%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.33Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap-0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lyman GoodBen Saunders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lyman Good(6 fights)Ben Saunders(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +113.7|Blue -113.7

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +427.0|Blue -427.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lyman GoodTargetBen Saunders

By target zone

63% acc · 71%

Head

25% acc · 17%

67% acc · 14%

Body

67% acc · 83%

67% acc · 14%

Leg

By position

22% acc · 14%

Distance

42% acc · 42%

90% acc · 64%

Clinch

64% acc · 58%

100% acc · 21%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lyman Good rounds

even

Ben Saunders rounds

Round 1Lyman Good edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 22

Sig Strikes

12 / 23

63%

Sig Str %

52%

17 / 25

Total Strikes

12 / 23

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ben Saunders	12 / 23	12 / 23	0 / 0	0
1	Lyman Good	14 / 22	17 / 25	0 / 0	0

Lyman Good

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Ben Saunders

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14