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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Andre Soukhamthath won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1400
Elo1376
Andre Soukhamthath

Luke SandersvsAndre SoukhamthathUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 9, 2017Fresno, California, USA

Official fight result

Andre Soukhamthath won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:06

Style matchupLuke Sanders: Pressure fightervsAndre Soukhamthath: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Luke Sanders wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Andre Soukhamthath wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luke Sanders at -345 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Luke Sanders (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Luke Sanders
Red Corner
VS
Andre Soukhamthath
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
1400
Elo
1376
40
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luke SandersL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Patrick Williams · Apr 18
L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 18
W
KOvs Renan Barao · Feb 19
L
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 20
L
vs Felipe Colares · May 21
latest
Andre SoukhamthathL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Aug 17
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 18
W
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 18
L
vs Montel Jackson · Apr 19
L
vs Su Mudaerji · Aug 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luke SandersMetricAndre Soukhamthath
6.61
Strikes / min
2.77
4.37
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
50%
Strike defense
49%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
1.25
72%
Takedown defense
58%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.24Δ 3.78 — meaningful gap-1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1503 vs 1469Strikes60.0 vs 44.5Takedowns0.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs -1.0
Luke SandersAndre Soukhamthath

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Luke Sanders(8 fights)Andre Soukhamthath(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +24.1|Blue -24.1
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luke SandersTargetAndre Soukhamthath

By target zone

19
31% acc · 83%
Head
16
36% acc · 80%
4
67% acc · 17%
Body
3
75% acc · 15%
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 5%

By position

21
34% acc · 91%
Distance
10
27% acc · 50%
2
33% acc · 9%
Clinch
3
100% acc · 15%
0
Ground
7
78% acc · 35%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Luke Sanders rounds
0
even
1
Andre Soukhamthath rounds
Round 1Luke Sanders edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:49
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Andre Soukhamthath edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
23 / 67
Sig Strikes
20 / 49
30.5%
Sig Str %
40%
37 / 82
Total Strikes
23 / 52
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:49
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Soukhamthath8 / 2311 / 260 / 00
1Luke Sanders18 / 4432 / 590 / 10
2Andre Soukhamthath12 / 2612 / 260 / 00
2Luke Sanders5 / 235 / 230 / 00

Luke Sanders

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights8

Andre Soukhamthath

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7