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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Luke Rockhold won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1433
Luke Rockhold
Elo1490
Costas Philippou

Luke RockholdvsCostas PhilippouUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · Wednesday, January 15, 2014Duluth, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Luke Rockhold won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:31

Model Prediction: Costas Philippou wins(76.2%)

Actual result: Luke Rockhold wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Costas Philippou at +360 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Costas Philippou is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Luke Rockhold has lost 80% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Luke Rockhold (53.5%).
  • Luke Rockhold has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Luke Rockhold
Red Corner
VS
Costas Philippou
Blue Corner
-405
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
1433
Elo
1490
41
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luke RockholdL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Jun 16
W
KOvs David Branch · Sep 17
L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Feb 18
L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Jul 19
L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 22
latest
Costas Philippou
oldest →
W
DECvs Riki Fukuda · Jul 12
W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Dec 12
L
DECvs Francis Carmont · Sep 13
W
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · May 14
L
DECvs Gegard Mousasi · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luke RockholdMetricCostas Philippou
4.10
Strikes / min
—
2.68
Strikes absorbed / min
—
53%
Strike defense
—
0.70
TDs / 15 min
—
65%
Takedown defense
—
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1560Strikes6.0 vs 30.9Takedowns0.0 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.29Form-1.0 vs 0.1
Luke RockholdCostas Philippou

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Luke Rockhold(10 fights)Costas Philippou(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -57.0|Blue +57.0
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Luke Rockhold

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights11

Costas Philippou

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2