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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Luke Jumeau won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1361

Luke JumeauvsDominique SteeleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · Saturday, June 10, 2017Auckland, New Zealand

Official fight result

Luke Jumeau won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Dominique Steele wins(57.7%)

Actual result: Luke Jumeau wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dominique Steele at -210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Luke Jumeau

Red Corner

Dominique Steele

Blue Corner

+175

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1492

Elo

1361

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luke Jumeau

oldest →

vs Shinsho Anzai · Sep 17

vs Daichi Abe · Feb 18

vs Dhiego Lima · Oct 19

latest

Dominique SteeleL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Zak Cummings · Jul 15

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Nov 15

vs Danny Roberts · Apr 16

vs Court McGee · Aug 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luke JumeauMetricDominique Steele

2.93

Strikes / min

2.32

3.17

Strikes absorbed / min

2.42

58%

Strike defense

50%

0.25

TDs / 15 min

2.95

86%

Takedown defense

76%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.24evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Luke JumeauDominique Steele

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Luke Jumeau(4 fights)Dominique Steele(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +131.2|Blue -131.2

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luke JumeauTargetDominique Steele

By target zone

41% acc · 68%

Head

45% acc · 57%

82% acc · 23%

Body

71% acc · 34%

67% acc · 10%

Leg

67% acc · 9%

By position

45% acc · 78%

Distance

40% acc · 52%

64% acc · 23%

Clinch

75% acc · 27%

Ground

90% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Luke Jumeau rounds

even

Dominique Steele rounds

Round 1Dominique Steele edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:22Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control1:26

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:48Control

Round 3Luke Jumeau edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:13

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:30Control

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 83

Sig Strikes

44 / 83

46.3%

Sig Str %

54.3%

59 / 103

Total Strikes

63 / 103

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 11

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:39

Ctrl Time

5:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dominique Steele	19 / 38	23 / 43	1 / 1
1	Luke Jumeau	7 / 24	14 / 32	0 / 0
2	Dominique Steele	13 / 20	17 / 24	0 / 4
2	Luke Jumeau	12 / 22	22 / 32	0 / 0
3	Dominique Steele	12 / 25	23 / 36	0 / 6
3	Luke Jumeau	21 / 37	23 / 39	0 / 0

Luke Jumeau

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4

Dominique Steele

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5