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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Luiz Garagorri won · Decision R3
Elo1492
Elo1375
Humberto Bandenay

Luiz GaragorrivsHumberto BandenayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2019Montevideo, Uruguay

Official fight result

Luiz Garagorri won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Luiz Garagorri wins(67.0%)

Actual result: Luiz Garagorri wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luiz Garagorri at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Humberto Bandenay (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Luiz Garagorri
Red Corner
VS
Humberto Bandenay
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1492
Elo
1375
30
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luiz GaragorriNo prior UFC fights on record.
Humberto BandenayL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Aug 17
L
KOvs Gabriel Benitez · May 18
L
vs Austin Arnett · Nov 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luiz GaragorriMetricHumberto Bandenay
—
Strikes / min
2.22
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
—
Strike defense
41%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.90
—
Takedown defense
62%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1484Strikes3.8 vs 2.2Takedowns0.8 vs 2.9Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.50Form0.0 vs -0.7
Luiz GaragorriHumberto Bandenay

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Luiz Garagorri(1 fights)Humberto Bandenay(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +116.7|Blue -116.7
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Luiz Garagorri

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1

Humberto Bandenay

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4