← All fights/Event page

Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Stanislav Nedkov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1352

Elo1354

Luiz CanevsStanislav NedkovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · Saturday, August 27, 2011Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Stanislav Nedkov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:13

Style matchupLuiz Cane: Pressure fightervsStanislav Nedkov: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Luiz Cane wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Stanislav Nedkov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luiz Cane at -240 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Luiz Cane is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Stanislav Nedkov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Stanislav Nedkov is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Luiz Cane has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Luiz Cane has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Luiz Cane has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Luiz Cane (53.5%).
Luiz Cane has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Luiz Cane

Red Corner

Stanislav Nedkov

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1352

Elo

1354

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'11"

195.58 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luiz Cane

oldest →

KOvs Cyrille Diabate · May 10

KOvs Eliot Marshall · Mar 11

vs Chris Camozzi · Oct 12

latest

Stanislav NedkovL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tom Watson · Feb 13

SUBvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luiz CaneMetricStanislav Nedkov

4.79

Strikes / min

3.33

5.00

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

60%

Strike defense

43%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

2.77

100%

Takedown defense

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.21Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap-2.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Luiz CaneStanislav Nedkov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Luiz Cane(4 fights)Stanislav Nedkov(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.5|Blue +2.5

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luiz CaneTargetStanislav Nedkov

By target zone

18% acc · 47%

Head

57% acc · 100%

100% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 40%

Leg

By position

34% acc · 100%

Distance

51% acc · 62%

0% acc

Clinch

67% acc · 14%

Ground

70% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Luiz Cane rounds

even

Stanislav Nedkov rounds

Round 1Stanislav Nedkov edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 46

Sig Strikes

29 / 51

32%

Sig Str %

56%

16 / 47

Total Strikes

30 / 52

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Stanislav Nedkov	29 / 51	30 / 52	0 / 1	0
1	Luiz Cane	15 / 46	16 / 47	0 / 0	0

Luiz Cane

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4

Stanislav Nedkov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3