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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Cyrille Diabate won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1352
Luiz Cane
Elo1353
Cyrille Diabate

Luiz CanevsCyrille DiabateUFC Prediction Result

UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · Saturday, May 29, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cyrille Diabate won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:13

Style matchupLuiz Cane: Pressure fightervsCyrille Diabate: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Luiz Cane wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Cyrille Diabate wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luiz Cane at -310 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Luiz Cane has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Cyrille Diabate has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Luiz Cane
Red Corner
VS
Cyrille Diabate
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
1352
Elo
1353
45
Age
52
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luiz CaneL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Eliot Marshall · Mar 11
L
KOvs Stanislav Nedkov · Aug 11
L
vs Chris Camozzi · Oct 12
latest
Cyrille DiabateL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Anthony Perosh · Nov 11
W
vs Tom DeBlass · Apr 12
W
SUBvs Chad Griggs · Nov 12
L
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Feb 13
L
SUBvs Ilir Latifi · Mar 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luiz CaneMetricCyrille Diabate
4.79
Strikes / min
4.06
5.00
Strikes absorbed / min
1.78
60%
Strike defense
60%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
1.17
100%
Takedown defense
53%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.21Δ 2.49 — meaningful gap+2.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes31.0 vs —Takedowns0.2 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.0 vs 0.0
Luiz CaneCyrille Diabate

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Luiz Cane(4 fights)Cyrille Diabate(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luiz CaneTargetCyrille Diabate

By target zone

3
20% acc · 75%
Head
13
76% acc · 76%
0
Body
2
100% acc · 12%
1
100% acc · 25%
Leg
2
100% acc · 12%

By position

3
21% acc · 75%
Distance
14
78% acc · 82%
1
100% acc · 25%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 6%
0
0% acc
Ground
2
100% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Luiz Cane rounds
0
even
1
Cyrille Diabate rounds
Round 1Cyrille Diabate edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control1:06
Knockdowns1
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
1
4 / 16
Sig Strikes
17 / 21
25%
Sig Str %
80%
6 / 18
Total Strikes
19 / 23
0 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
1:06
Ctrl Time
0:10

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cyrille Diabate17 / 2119 / 230 / 00
1Luiz Cane4 / 166 / 180 / 20

Luiz Cane

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4

Cyrille Diabate

StanceSouthpaw
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights8