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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Luis Saldana won · U-DEC

Elo1495

Elo1399

Luis SaldanavsJordan GriffinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · Saturday, April 10, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Luis Saldana won

U-DEC

Style matchupLuis Saldana: Pressure fightervsJordan Griffin: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Luis Saldana wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Luis Saldana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luis Saldana at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Luis Saldana has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Griffin (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Luis Saldana

Red Corner

Jordan Griffin

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1495

Elo

1399

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luis Saldana

oldest →

vs Austin Lingo · Aug 21

vs Bruno Souza · Mar 22

latest

Jordan Griffin

oldest →

vs Dan Ige · Dec 18

vs Chas Skelly · Sep 19

SUBvs TJ Brown · Feb 20

vs Youssef Zalal · Jun 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luis SaldanaMetricJordan Griffin

5.16

Strikes / min

2.52

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

60%

Strike defense

50%

0.64

TDs / 15 min

1.45

44%

Takedown defense

42%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.51Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap-0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Luis SaldanaJordan Griffin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Luis Saldana(3 fights)Jordan Griffin(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +96.9|Blue -96.9

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luis SaldanaTargetJordan Griffin

By target zone

28% acc · 53%

Head

40% acc · 67%

80% acc · 22%

Body

82% acc · 27%

82% acc · 25%

Leg

67% acc · 6%

By position

38% acc · 83%

Distance

45% acc · 82%

67% acc · 17%

Clinch

67% acc · 12%

Ground

67% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Luis Saldana rounds

even

Jordan Griffin rounds

Round 1Jordan Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:13Control

Round 2Jordan Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:30

4Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:17Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:48

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 88

Sig Strikes

33 / 69

43.7%

Sig Str %

48.7%

40 / 94

Total Strikes

39 / 77

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 7

—

TD %

55.3%

Sub Att

Rev

2:18

Ctrl Time

6:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jordan Griffin	18 / 42	20 / 45	2 / 3	0
1	Luis Saldana	19 / 48	19 / 49	0 / 0	0
2	Jordan Griffin	4 / 10	4 / 11	2 / 2	1
2	Luis Saldana	9 / 15	10 / 16	0 / 0	1
3	Jordan Griffin	11 / 17	15 / 21	0 / 2	1
3	Luis Saldana	8 / 25	11 / 29	0 / 0	0

Luis Saldana

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3

Jordan Griffin

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5