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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Arjan Bhullar won · U-DEC R3

Elo1368

Elo1492

Luis HenriquevsArjan BhullarUFC Prediction Result

UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · Saturday, September 9, 2017Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Arjan Bhullar won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Luis Henrique wins(65.9%)

Actual result: Arjan Bhullar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luis Henrique at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Arjan Bhullar has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Arjan Bhullar has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Luis Henrique

Red Corner

Arjan Bhullar

Blue Corner

+175

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1368

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luis HenriqueL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 15

SUBvs Dmitrii Smoliakov · Jul 16

SUBvs Christian Colombo · Nov 16

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 17

vs Ryan Spann · Sep 18

latest

Arjan BhullarW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Adam Wieczorek · Apr 18

vs Marcelo Golm · Oct 18

vs Juan Adams · May 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luis HenriqueMetricArjan Bhullar

1.81

Strikes / min

2.33

2.22

Strikes absorbed / min

3.25

47%

Strike defense

59%

3.09

TDs / 15 min

1.73

50%

Takedown defense

100%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Luis HenriqueArjan Bhullar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Luis Henrique(6 fights)Arjan Bhullar(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -123.9|Blue +123.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luis HenriqueTargetArjan Bhullar

By target zone

19% acc · 56%

Head

48% acc · 96%

64% acc · 28%

Body

50% acc · 4%

100% acc · 16%

Leg

By position

26% acc · 81%

Distance

41% acc · 58%

46% acc · 19%

Clinch

63% acc · 21%

Ground

63% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Luis Henrique rounds

even

Arjan Bhullar rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 2Arjan Bhullar edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:54Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Luis Henrique edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 114

Sig Strikes

24 / 50

26.7%

Sig Str %

47%

54 / 137

Total Strikes

60 / 96

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Arjan Bhullar	6 / 15	15 / 24	0 / 0
1	Luis Henrique	7 / 27	8 / 29	0 / 0
2	Arjan Bhullar	11 / 20	29 / 46	1 / 1
2	Luis Henrique	6 / 24	11 / 29	0 / 0
3	Arjan Bhullar	7 / 15	16 / 26	0 / 0
3	Luis Henrique	19 / 63	35 / 79	0 / 0

Luis Henrique

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Arjan Bhullar

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4