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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Ludovit Klein won · M-DEC R3

Elo1525

Elo1473

Ludovit KleinvsMateusz RebeckiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Saturday, October 25, 2025Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Ludovit Klein won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLudovit Klein: Well-roundedvsMateusz Rebecki: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ludovit Klein wins(54.9%)

Actual result: Ludovit Klein wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ludovit Klein at -126 American odds

+$79 profit

$179 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ludovit Klein has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ludovit Klein has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ludovit Klein

Red Corner

Mateusz Rebecki

Blue Corner

-126

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+108

(48%)

1525

Elo

1473

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ludovit Klein

oldest →

vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 23

KOvs AJ Cunningham · Mar 24

vs Thiago Moises · Jun 24

vs Roosevelt Roberts · Sep 24

vs Mateusz Gamrot · May 25

latest

Mateusz RebeckiL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 23

KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 24

vs Myktybek Orolbai · Oct 24

vs Chris Duncan · Aug 25

SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ludovit KleinMetricMateusz Rebecki

3.76

Strikes / min

4.79

3.48

Strikes absorbed / min

4.36

53%

Strike defense

54%

1.37

TDs / 15 min

3.05

76%

Takedown defense

53%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.28evenly matched on net striking+0.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ludovit KleinMateusz Rebecki

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ludovit Klein(10 fights)Mateusz Rebecki(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +52.0|Blue -52.0

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ludovit KleinTargetMateusz Rebecki

By target zone

54% acc · 84%

Head

40% acc · 76%

100% acc · 11%

Body

79% acc · 15%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

57% acc · 88%

Distance

35% acc · 63%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

83% acc · 12%

Ground

92% acc · 32%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ludovit Klein rounds

even

Mateusz Rebecki rounds

Round 1Ludovit Klein edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:47Control

Round 2Ludovit Klein edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 3Mateusz Rebecki edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:53Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

82 / 140

Sig Strikes

72 / 159

59.3%

Sig Str %

46%

90 / 149

Total Strikes

113 / 208

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 12

—

TD %

27.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

5:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mateusz Rebecki	21 / 50	21 / 50	0 / 5
1	Ludovit Klein	25 / 45	25 / 45	0 / 0
2	Mateusz Rebecki	21 / 61	22 / 62	1 / 3
2	Ludovit Klein	38 / 67	41 / 70	0 / 0
3	Mateusz Rebecki	30 / 48	70 / 96	2 / 4
3	Ludovit Klein	19 / 28	24 / 34	0 / 0

Ludovit Klein

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11

Mateusz Rebecki

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9