Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Luana Pinheiro won · U-DEC R3

Elo1476

Elo1509

Luana PinheirovsSam HughesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Saturday, November 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Luana Pinheiro won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLuana Pinheiro: WrestlervsSam Hughes: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Luana Pinheiro wins(54.3%)

Actual result: Luana Pinheiro wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luana Pinheiro at -380 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Luana Pinheiro

Red Corner

Sam Hughes

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1476

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'2"

Height

5'5"

157.48 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luana PinheiroL4 streak

oldest →

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Apr 23

KOvs Amanda Ribas · Nov 23

SUBvs Angela Hill · May 24

vs Gillian Robertson · Nov 24

vs Tecia Pennington · May 25

latest

Sam Hughes

oldest →

vs Yazmin Jauregui · Feb 24

vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Aug 24

vs Stephanie Luciano · Mar 25

SUBvs Shauna Bannon · Sep 25

vs Piera Rodriguez · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luana PinheiroMetricSam Hughes

3.29

Strikes / min

4.41

4.06

Strikes absorbed / min

4.69

60%

Strike defense

58%

2.33

TDs / 15 min

1.12

71%

Takedown defense

63%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.77evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Luana PinheiroSam Hughes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Luana Pinheiro(7 fights)Sam Hughes(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.2|Blue +33.2

Recent Form

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luana PinheiroTargetSam Hughes

By target zone

32% acc · 67%

Head

32% acc · 43%

56% acc · 23%

Body

27% acc · 11%

75% acc · 10%

Leg

67% acc · 45%

By position

36% acc · 88%

Distance

40% acc · 94%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

75% acc · 6%

71% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Luana Pinheiro rounds

even

Sam Hughes rounds

Round 1Luana Pinheiro edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control1:51

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Luana Pinheiro edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:16

Knockdowns1

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Luana Pinheiro edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 159

Sig Strikes

53 / 130

36.3%

Sig Str %

40.3%

67 / 170

Total Strikes

65 / 147

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:07

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sam Hughes	11 / 27	22 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	Luana Pinheiro	11 / 39	16 / 45	2 / 2	1
2	Sam Hughes	19 / 47	20 / 51	0 / 0	0
2	Luana Pinheiro	23 / 63	24 / 67	0 / 1	0
3	Sam Hughes	23 / 56	23 / 57	0 / 0	0
3	Luana Pinheiro	26 / 57	27 / 58	0 / 0	0

Luana Pinheiro

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights7

Sam Hughes

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12