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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Gillian Robertson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1476

Elo1544

Gillian Robertson editorial illustration

Luana PinheirovsGillian RobertsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Saturday, November 9, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Gillian Robertson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLuana Pinheiro: WrestlervsGillian Robertson: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Gillian Robertson wins(72.2%)

Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gillian Robertson at -470 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Luana Pinheiro enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Gillian Robertson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Luana Pinheiro has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Luana Pinheiro

Red Corner

Gillian Robertson

Blue Corner

+360

(22%)

Vegas Odds

-470

(82%)

1476

Elo

1544

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'2"

Height

5'5"

157.48 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luana PinheiroL3 streak

oldest →

vs Sam Hughes · Nov 21

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Apr 23

KOvs Amanda Ribas · Nov 23

SUBvs Angela Hill · May 24

vs Tecia Pennington · May 25

latest

Gillian RobertsonW4 streak

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · Jun 23

KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24

KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luana PinheiroMetricGillian Robertson

3.29

Strikes / min

2.71

4.06

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

60%

Strike defense

56%

2.33

TDs / 15 min

2.76

71%

Takedown defense

38%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.77evenly matched on net striking-0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Luana PinheiroGillian Robertson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Luana Pinheiro(7 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -68.1|Blue +68.1

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luana PinheiroTargetGillian Robertson

By target zone

27% acc · 55%

Head

46% acc · 63%

89% acc · 38%

Body

28% acc · 10%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

78% acc · 27%

By position

40% acc · 98%

Distance

37% acc · 54%

33% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

Ground

71% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Luana Pinheiro rounds

even

Gillian Robertson rounds

Round 1Gillian Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:04

15Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:33Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:22Control

Round 3Gillian Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:13

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:18Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 105

Sig Strikes

52 / 108

42%

Sig Str %

48.7%

63 / 128

Total Strikes

78 / 145

0 / 0

TDs

5 / 17

—

TD %

28.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

8:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gillian Robertson	15 / 32	15 / 35	3 / 8
1	Luana Pinheiro	14 / 38	16 / 42	0 / 0
2	Gillian Robertson	20 / 47	22 / 55	1 / 6
2	Luana Pinheiro	25 / 61	29 / 65	0 / 0
3	Gillian Robertson	17 / 29	41 / 55	1 / 3
3	Luana Pinheiro	3 / 6	18 / 21	0 / 0

Luana Pinheiro

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights7

Gillian Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights20