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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Angela Hill won · SUB R2
Elo1476
Elo1506
Angela Hill

Luana PinheirovsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · Saturday, May 18, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Angela Hill won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:12

Style matchupLuana Pinheiro: WrestlervsAngela Hill: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Luana Pinheiro wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Luana Pinheiro enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Luana Pinheiro
Red Corner
VS
Angela Hill
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1476
Elo
1506
33
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'3"
157.48 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luana PinheiroL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Sam Hughes · Nov 21
W
vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Apr 23
L
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Nov 23
L
vs Gillian Robertson · Nov 24
L
vs Tecia Pennington · May 25
latest
Angela Hill
oldest →
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24
W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25
L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25
W
DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luana PinheiroMetricAngela Hill
3.29
Strikes / min
5.37
4.06
Strikes absorbed / min
5.02
60%
Strike defense
60%
2.33
TDs / 15 min
0.75
71%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.77Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1526 vs 1497Strikes3.6 vs 5.5Takedowns2.2 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.10Form-0.1 vs 0.3
Luana PinheiroAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Luana Pinheiro(7 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -29.8|Blue +29.8
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luana PinheiroTargetAngela Hill

By target zone

11
22% acc · 65%
Head
19
30% acc · 68%
3
50% acc · 18%
Body
9
60% acc · 32%
3
100% acc · 18%
Leg
0

By position

15
28% acc · 88%
Distance
21
30% acc · 75%
2
33% acc · 12%
Clinch
3
100% acc · 11%
0
Ground
4
80% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Luana Pinheiro rounds
0
even
2
Angela Hill rounds
Round 1Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:03Control
Round 2Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:04
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
17 / 60
Sig Strikes
28 / 79
30%
Sig Str %
33.5%
25 / 77
Total Strikes
39 / 91
1 / 7
TDs
2 / 6
10%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
1
0:04
Ctrl Time
3:06

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Angela Hill8 / 3415 / 422 / 20
1Luana Pinheiro7 / 2014 / 360 / 20
2Angela Hill20 / 4524 / 490 / 41
2Luana Pinheiro10 / 4011 / 411 / 50

Luana Pinheiro

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights7

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights30