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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Luana Carolina won · U-DEC R3

Elo1500

Elo1459

Luana CarolinavsPriscila CachoeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · Saturday, May 11, 2019Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Luana Carolina won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLuana Carolina: Well-roundedvsPriscila Cachoeira: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Priscila Cachoeira wins(54.1%)

Actual result: Luana Carolina wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Priscila Cachoeira at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Luana Carolina has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Luana Carolina

Red Corner

Priscila Cachoeira

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1500

Elo

1459

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luana Carolina

oldest →

vs Joanne Wood · Mar 23

vs Ivana Petrovic · Jul 23

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 24

vs Lucie Pudilova · Jul 24

vs Michelle Montague · Sep 25

latest

Priscila CachoeiraL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24

KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25

vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26

SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luana CarolinaMetricPriscila Cachoeira

4.65

Strikes / min

4.43

3.46

Strikes absorbed / min

7.60

51%

Strike defense

45%

0.30

TDs / 15 min

0.25

68%

Takedown defense

69%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.19Δ 4.36 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Luana CarolinaPriscila Cachoeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Luana Carolina(10 fights)Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +41.1|Blue -41.1

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.9|Blue -49.9

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luana CarolinaTargetPriscila Cachoeira

By target zone

42% acc · 68%

Head

38% acc · 57%

67% acc · 28%

Body

62% acc · 30%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

75% acc · 13%

By position

45% acc · 74%

Distance

44% acc · 80%

53% acc · 19%

Clinch

57% acc · 19%

80% acc · 7%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Luana Carolina rounds

even

Priscila Cachoeira rounds

Round 1Luana Carolina edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:17

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Luana Carolina edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control2:21

Knockdowns1

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Luana Carolina edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control0:00

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

111 / 231

Sig Strikes

69 / 149

48.3%

Sig Str %

45%

126 / 251

Total Strikes

69 / 149

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:38

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Priscila Cachoeira	18 / 40	18 / 40	0 / 2	0
1	Luana Carolina	28 / 57	29 / 59	0 / 0	0
2	Priscila Cachoeira	14 / 34	14 / 34	0 / 0	0
2	Luana Carolina	37 / 72	51 / 90	0 / 0	3
3	Priscila Cachoeira	37 / 75	37 / 75	0 / 0	0
3	Luana Carolina	46 / 102	46 / 102	0 / 0	0

Luana Carolina

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights10

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14