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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Luana Carolina won · U-DEC R3
Elo1500
Elo1491
Lucie Pudilova

Luana CarolinavsLucie PudilovaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Saturday, July 20, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Luana Carolina won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLuana Carolina: Well-roundedvsLucie Pudilova: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Luana Carolina wins(69.5%)

Actual result: Luana Carolina wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Luana Carolina
Red Corner
VS
Lucie Pudilova
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1500
Elo
1491
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luana Carolina
oldest →
L
KOvs Molly McCann · Mar 22
L
vs Joanne Wood · Mar 23
W
vs Ivana Petrovic · Jul 23
W
KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 24
L
vs Michelle Montague · Sep 25
latest
Lucie PudilovaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Liz Carmouche · Feb 19
L
SUBvs Antonina Shevchenko · Aug 19
W
KOvs Wu Yanan · Aug 22
L
vs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 23
L
vs Ailin Perez · Nov 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luana CarolinaMetricLucie Pudilova
4.65
Strikes / min
3.60
3.46
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.30
TDs / 15 min
0.70
68%
Takedown defense
67%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.19Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1525 vs 1455Strikes4.8 vs 3.6Takedowns0.3 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.60Form0.5 vs -0.7
Luana CarolinaLucie Pudilova

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Luana Carolina(10 fights)Lucie Pudilova(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +9.4|Blue -9.4
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Luana CarolinaTargetLucie Pudilova

By target zone

45
45% acc · 48%
Head
25
29% acc · 58%
23
66% acc · 24%
Body
16
70% acc · 37%
26
84% acc · 28%
Leg
2
40% acc · 5%

By position

73
51% acc · 78%
Distance
27
29% acc · 63%
21
84% acc · 22%
Clinch
16
76% acc · 37%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Luana Carolina rounds
1
even
0
Lucie Pudilova rounds
Round 1Luana Carolina edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:38
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:03
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 3Luana Carolina edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
94 / 167
Sig Strikes
43 / 114
56%
Sig Str %
35.7%
114 / 199
Total Strikes
62 / 145
0 / 1
TDs
2 / 4
0%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:41
Ctrl Time
2:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Lucie Pudilova6 / 3214 / 421 / 10
1Luana Carolina33 / 5138 / 580 / 10
2Lucie Pudilova22 / 4327 / 500 / 10
2Luana Carolina24 / 5028 / 570 / 00
3Lucie Pudilova15 / 3921 / 531 / 20
3Luana Carolina37 / 6648 / 840 / 00

Luana Carolina

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights10

Lucie Pudilova

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights10