Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Luan Chagas won · Submission R2
Elo1491
Elo1361

Luan ChagasvsJimmy WallheadUFC Prediction Result

UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · Saturday, June 3, 2017Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Luan Chagas won

Submission · Round 2 · 4:48

Model Prediction: Jimmy Wallhead wins(63.9%)

Actual result: Luan Chagas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimmy Wallhead at +220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Luan Chagas threatens submissions; Jimmy Wallhead has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Luan Chagas
Red Corner
VS
Jimmy Wallhead
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
1491
Elo
1361
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Luan ChagasL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Sep 16
L
KOvs Siyar Bahadurzada · Apr 18
latest
Jimmy Wallhead
oldest →
L
DECvs Jessin Ayari · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Luan ChagasMetricJimmy Wallhead
4.16
Strikes / min
—
3.19
Strikes absorbed / min
—
62%
Strike defense
—
0.32
TDs / 15 min
—
85%
Takedown defense
—
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1482Strikes43.5 vs 47.0Takedowns0.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Luan ChagasJimmy Wallhead

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Luan Chagas(3 fights)Jimmy Wallhead(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +130.5|Blue -130.5
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +2.9|Blue -2.9
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Luan Chagas

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3

Jimmy Wallhead

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights1