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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Johnny Bedford won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1354
Louis Gaudinot
Elo1354
Johnny Bedford

Louis GaudinotvsJohnny BedfordUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Johnny Bedford won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:58

Model Prediction: Johnny Bedford wins(54.3%)

Actual result: Johnny Bedford wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Johnny Bedford at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Johnny Bedford enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Louis Gaudinot threatens submissions; Johnny Bedford has lost 67% of fights by sub.
  • Johnny Bedford has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Johnny Bedford has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Johnny Bedford has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Louis Gaudinot
Red Corner
VS
Johnny Bedford
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
1354
Elo
1354
41
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'10"
160.02 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Louis GaudinotL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs John Lineker · May 12
L
vs Tim Elliott · Aug 13
L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Jan 15
latest
Johnny BedfordL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Marcos Vinicius · Dec 12
L
SUBvs Bryan Caraway · Apr 13
L
KOvs Cody Gibson · Jun 14
L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Sep 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Louis GaudinotMetricJohnny Bedford
2.34
Strikes / min
4.53
6.42
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
48%
Strike defense
63%
0.57
TDs / 15 min
1.83
31%
Takedown defense
62%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-4.08Δ 6.86 — meaningful gap+2.78
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Louis Gaudinot(4 fights)Johnny Bedford(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Louis GaudinotTargetJohnny Bedford

By target zone

3
13% acc · 50%
Head
50
49% acc · 61%
0
Body
29
83% acc · 35%
3
50% acc · 50%
Leg
3
100% acc · 4%

By position

2
10% acc · 33%
Distance
10
29% acc · 12%
4
44% acc · 67%
Clinch
19
83% acc · 23%
0
Ground
53
64% acc · 65%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Louis Gaudinot rounds
0
even
3
Johnny Bedford rounds
Round 1Johnny Bedford edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:19Control
Round 2Johnny Bedford edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:22Control
Round 3Johnny Bedford edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
6 / 29
Sig Strikes
82 / 140
20%
Sig Str %
58%
18 / 41
Total Strikes
155 / 229
0 / 2
TDs
4 / 6
0%
TD %
66%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
9:21

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Johnny Bedford31 / 5470 / 992 / 30
1Louis Gaudinot3 / 104 / 110 / 00
2Johnny Bedford27 / 4352 / 772 / 30
2Louis Gaudinot1 / 812 / 190 / 00
3Johnny Bedford24 / 4333 / 530 / 00
3Louis Gaudinot2 / 112 / 110 / 20

Louis Gaudinot

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4

Johnny Bedford

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5