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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Sasha Palatnikov won · KO/TKO

Elo1435

Elo1406

Louis CoscevsSasha PalatnikovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Saturday, November 21, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sasha Palatnikov won

KO/TKO

Style matchupLouis Cosce: Pressure fightervsSasha Palatnikov: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Louis Cosce wins(71.2%)

Actual result: Sasha Palatnikov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Louis Cosce at -455 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sasha Palatnikov is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Louis Cosce has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Sasha Palatnikov has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Sasha Palatnikov (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Louis Cosce

Red Corner

Sasha Palatnikov

Blue Corner

-455

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1435

Elo

1406

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

6'1"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Louis Cosce

oldest →

vs Trevin Giles · Sep 22

latest

Sasha PalatnikovL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Impa Kasanganay · Apr 21

SUBvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Aug 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Louis CosceMetricSasha Palatnikov

4.31

Strikes / min

6.69

5.35

Strikes absorbed / min

5.44

47%

Strike defense

52%

1.04

TDs / 15 min

0.72

50%

Takedown defense

70%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.04Δ 2.29 — meaningful gap+1.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Louis CosceSasha Palatnikov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Louis Cosce(2 fights)Sasha Palatnikov(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +29.3|Blue -29.3

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Louis CosceTargetSasha Palatnikov

By target zone

44% acc · 77%

Head

100

50% acc · 80%

57% acc · 12%

Body

71% acc · 19%

85% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 1%

By position

39% acc · 59%

Distance

46% acc · 66%

73% acc · 16%

Clinch

76% acc · 20%

74% acc · 25%

Ground

75% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Louis Cosce rounds

even

Sasha Palatnikov rounds

Round 1Louis Cosce edged it

Sig. strikes57

Takedowns1

Control0:34

Knockdowns1

56Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:17Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Sasha Palatnikov edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:04

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:59Control

Round 3Sasha Palatnikov edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:15

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

99 / 206

Sig Strikes

125 / 237

47%

Sig Str %

52%

115 / 224

Total Strikes

160 / 275

1 / 9

TDs

1 / 1

11%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:53

Ctrl Time

3:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sasha Palatnikov	56 / 103	65 / 113	1 / 1
1	Louis Cosce	57 / 111	67 / 123	1 / 3
2	Sasha Palatnikov	44 / 83	62 / 102	0 / 0
2	Louis Cosce	29 / 68	34 / 73	0 / 1
3	Sasha Palatnikov	25 / 51	33 / 60	0 / 0
3	Louis Cosce	13 / 27	14 / 28	0 / 5

Louis Cosce

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights2

Sasha Palatnikov

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3