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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Luana Carolina won · U-DEC R3

Elo1507

Elo1500

Loopy GodinezvsLuana CarolinaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Saturday, October 16, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Luana Carolina won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLoopy Godinez: WrestlervsLuana Carolina: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Luana Carolina wins(55.6%)

Actual result: Luana Carolina wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luana Carolina at +180 American odds

+$180 profit

$280 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Loopy Godinez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Luana Carolina has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Loopy Godinez

Red Corner

Luana Carolina

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1507

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'2"

Height

5'6"

154.94 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Loopy Godinez

oldest →

vs Virna Jandiroba · Mar 24

vs Mackenzie Dern · Aug 24

vs Julia Polastri · Mar 25

vs Jessica Andrade · Aug 25

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Apr 26

latest

Luana Carolina

oldest →

vs Joanne Wood · Mar 23

vs Ivana Petrovic · Jul 23

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 24

vs Lucie Pudilova · Jul 24

vs Michelle Montague · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Loopy GodinezMetricLuana Carolina

4.43

Strikes / min

4.65

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

3.46

62%

Strike defense

51%

2.99

TDs / 15 min

0.30

76%

Takedown defense

68%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.49evenly matched on net striking+1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Loopy GodinezLuana Carolina

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Loopy Godinez(10 fights)Luana Carolina(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -161.0|Blue +161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Loopy GodinezTargetLuana Carolina

By target zone

38% acc · 70%

Head

34% acc · 45%

57% acc · 17%

Body

78% acc · 34%

60% acc · 13%

Leg

79% acc · 21%

By position

40% acc · 74%

Distance

43% acc · 70%

29% acc · 9%

Clinch

76% acc · 30%

100% acc · 17%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Loopy Godinez rounds

even

Luana Carolina rounds

Round 1Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control4:01

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 2Luana Carolina edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control1:21

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Luana Carolina edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control2:15

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 54

Sig Strikes

53 / 107

47%

Sig Str %

52%

45 / 76

Total Strikes

86 / 141

2 / 15

TDs

0 / 0

13.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:37

Ctrl Time

0:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Luana Carolina	6 / 10	14 / 19	0 / 0
1	Loopy Godinez	7 / 10	23 / 26	1 / 5
2	Luana Carolina	25 / 51	42 / 68	0 / 0
2	Loopy Godinez	10 / 23	11 / 24	1 / 5
3	Luana Carolina	22 / 46	30 / 54	0 / 0
3	Loopy Godinez	6 / 21	11 / 26	0 / 5

Loopy Godinez

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights14

Luana Carolina

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights10