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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Loopy Godinez won · SUB R2

Elo1507

Elo1494

Loopy GodinezvsElise ReedUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Saturday, September 16, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Loopy Godinez won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:38

Style matchupLoopy Godinez: WrestlervsElise Reed: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Loopy Godinez wins(80.3%)

Actual result: Loopy Godinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Loopy Godinez at -395 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Loopy Godinez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Loopy Godinez has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Loopy Godinez

Red Corner

Elise Reed

Blue Corner

-395

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+310

(24%)

1507

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'2"

Height

5'3"

154.94 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Loopy Godinez

oldest →

vs Virna Jandiroba · Mar 24

vs Mackenzie Dern · Aug 24

vs Julia Polastri · Mar 25

vs Jessica Andrade · Aug 25

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Apr 26

latest

Elise Reed

oldest →

vs Melissa Martinez · Sep 22

SUBvs Loma Lookboonmee · Feb 23

vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jun 23

vs Jessica Penne · Oct 24

KOvs Denise Gomes · May 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Loopy GodinezMetricElise Reed

4.43

Strikes / min

3.41

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

3.26

62%

Strike defense

51%

2.99

TDs / 15 min

0.46

76%

Takedown defense

53%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.49evenly matched on net striking+0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Loopy GodinezElise Reed

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Loopy Godinez(10 fights)Elise Reed(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +13.7|Blue -13.7

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Loopy GodinezTargetElise Reed

By target zone

60% acc · 71%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 19%

Body

67% acc · 67%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

25% acc · 33%

By position

63% acc · 71%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

100% acc · 14%

Clinch

75% acc · 14%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Loopy Godinez rounds

even

Elise Reed rounds

Round 1Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control3:39

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns3

Control2:50

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 31

Sig Strikes

3 / 13

64.5%

Sig Str %

23.5%

37 / 51

Total Strikes

34 / 48

5 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:29

Ctrl Time

0:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Elise Reed	1 / 4	5 / 11	0 / 0	0
1	Loopy Godinez	6 / 11	14 / 20	2 / 2	5
2	Elise Reed	2 / 9	29 / 37	0 / 1	0
2	Loopy Godinez	15 / 20	23 / 31	3 / 3	1

Loopy Godinez

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights14

Elise Reed

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights9