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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Loma Lookboonmee won · U-DEC R3

Elo1489

Elo1475

Loma LookboonmeevsIstela NunesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · Saturday, April 5, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Loma Lookboonmee won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLoma Lookboonmee: Well-roundedvsIstela Nunes: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Loma Lookboonmee wins(83.7%)

Actual result: Loma Lookboonmee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Loma Lookboonmee at -900 American odds

+$11 profit

$111 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Istela Nunes enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Loma Lookboonmee has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Istela Nunes has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Loma Lookboonmee

Red Corner

Istela Nunes

Blue Corner

-900

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+610

(14%)

1489

Elo

1475

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'4"

154.94 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Loma LookboonmeeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Denise Gomes · Sep 22

SUBvs Elise Reed · Feb 23

vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 24

vs Alexia Thainara · Sep 25

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · May 26

latest

Istela NunesL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Ariane Carnelossi · Oct 21

vs Sam Hughes · Apr 22

KOvs Yazmin Jauregui · Dec 22

KOvs Viktoriia Dudakova · Jul 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Loma LookboonmeeMetricIstela Nunes

3.67

Strikes / min

4.28

2.52

Strikes absorbed / min

4.07

53%

Strike defense

59%

1.81

TDs / 15 min

0.00

68%

Takedown defense

47%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.15evenly matched on net striking+0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Loma LookboonmeeIstela Nunes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Loma Lookboonmee(10 fights)Istela Nunes(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Recent Form

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -210.0|Blue +210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Loma LookboonmeeTargetIstela Nunes

By target zone

29% acc · 38%

Head

27% acc · 19%

52% acc · 41%

Body

85% acc · 31%

70% acc · 22%

Leg

78% acc · 50%

By position

40% acc · 88%

Distance

57% acc · 92%

100% acc · 13%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

0% acc

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Loma Lookboonmee rounds

even

Istela Nunes rounds

Round 1Istela Nunes edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:09Control

Round 2Loma Lookboonmee edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:54

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:34Control

Round 3Loma Lookboonmee edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control3:40

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:32Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 76

Sig Strikes

36 / 62

48.7%

Sig Str %

57.3%

111 / 170

Total Strikes

51 / 82

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:34

Ctrl Time

3:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Istela Nunes	22 / 37	27 / 46	0 / 1
1	Loma Lookboonmee	15 / 47	26 / 59	0 / 1
2	Istela Nunes	7 / 14	14 / 22	0 / 0
2	Loma Lookboonmee	10 / 16	23 / 37	1 / 2
3	Istela Nunes	7 / 11	10 / 14	0 / 0
3	Loma Lookboonmee	7 / 13	62 / 74	2 / 2

Loma Lookboonmee

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights11

Istela Nunes

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights5