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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Loma Lookboonmee won · SUB R2

Elo1489

Elo1494

Loma LookboonmeevsElise ReedUFC Prediction Result

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Saturday, February 11, 2023Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Loma Lookboonmee won

SUB · Round 2 · 0:44

Style matchupLoma Lookboonmee: Well-roundedvsElise Reed: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Loma Lookboonmee wins(70.7%)

Actual result: Loma Lookboonmee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Loma Lookboonmee at -345 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Loma Lookboonmee has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Loma Lookboonmee

Red Corner

Elise Reed

Blue Corner

-345

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+285

(26%)

1489

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'3"

154.94 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Loma LookboonmeeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Denise Gomes · Sep 22

vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 24

vs Istela Nunes · Apr 25

vs Alexia Thainara · Sep 25

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · May 26

latest

Elise Reed

oldest →

vs Melissa Martinez · Sep 22

vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jun 23

SUBvs Loopy Godinez · Sep 23

vs Jessica Penne · Oct 24

KOvs Denise Gomes · May 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Loma LookboonmeeMetricElise Reed

3.67

Strikes / min

3.41

2.52

Strikes absorbed / min

3.26

53%

Strike defense

51%

1.81

TDs / 15 min

0.46

68%

Takedown defense

53%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.15evenly matched on net striking+0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Loma LookboonmeeElise Reed

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Loma Lookboonmee(10 fights)Elise Reed(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.8|Blue +4.8

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Loma LookboonmeeTargetElise Reed

By target zone

63% acc · 29%

Head

52% acc · 71%

67% acc · 35%

Body

50% acc · 6%

60% acc · 35%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

60% acc · 71%

Distance

39% acc · 41%

80% acc · 24%

Clinch

83% acc · 29%

50% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Loma Lookboonmee rounds

even

Elise Reed rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control0:13

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:59Control

Round 2Loma Lookboonmee edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control0:23

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 27

Sig Strikes

17 / 29

57%

Sig Str %

30%

22 / 34

Total Strikes

41 / 60

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:36

Ctrl Time

1:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Elise Reed	17 / 28	41 / 59	0 / 0	0
1	Loma Lookboonmee	16 / 25	20 / 31	1 / 2	0
2	Elise Reed	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0	0
2	Loma Lookboonmee	1 / 2	2 / 3	1 / 1	1

Loma Lookboonmee

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights11

Elise Reed

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights9