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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Alexis Davis won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1495

Liz CarmouchevsAlexis DavisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · Wednesday, November 6, 2013Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Alexis Davis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLiz Carmouche: WrestlervsAlexis Davis: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Alexis Davis wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Alexis Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alexis Davis at +165 American odds

+$165 profit

$265 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Liz Carmouche has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Liz Carmouche

Red Corner

Alexis Davis

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1492

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Liz Carmouche

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 16

vs Alexis Davis · Dec 17

vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 18

vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 19

vs Valentina Shevchenko · Aug 19

latest

Alexis Davis

oldest →

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19

vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19

vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21

vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Liz CarmoucheMetricAlexis Davis

2.78

Strikes / min

4.63

2.51

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

61%

Strike defense

54%

2.57

TDs / 15 min

0.95

65%

Takedown defense

34%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Liz CarmoucheAlexis Davis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Liz Carmouche(10 fights)Alexis Davis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.1|Blue +3.1

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Liz CarmoucheTargetAlexis Davis

By target zone

35% acc · 49%

Head

18% acc · 44%

70% acc · 16%

Body

58% acc · 14%

100% acc · 35%

Leg

62% acc · 42%

By position

49% acc · 91%

Distance

26% acc · 76%

80% acc · 9%

Clinch

50% acc · 22%

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Liz Carmouche rounds

even

Alexis Davis rounds

Round 1Liz Carmouche edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:09

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:05Control

Round 3Alexis Davis edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:09

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 85

Sig Strikes

50 / 171

50.7%

Sig Str %

29%

65 / 113

Total Strikes

69 / 190

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

3:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alexis Davis	12 / 48	12 / 48	0 / 0
1	Liz Carmouche	15 / 30	15 / 30	0 / 0
2	Alexis Davis	17 / 65	27 / 75	1 / 1
2	Liz Carmouche	14 / 30	16 / 33	1 / 1
3	Alexis Davis	21 / 58	30 / 67	0 / 0
3	Liz Carmouche	14 / 25	34 / 50	0 / 0

Liz Carmouche

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights10

Alexis Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14