Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Randa Markos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1410

Elo1494

Livinha SouzavsRanda MarkosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Saturday, October 23, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Randa Markos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Livinha Souza wins(62.0%)

Actual result: Randa Markos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Livinha Souza at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Randa Markos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Livinha Souza

Red Corner

Randa Markos

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1410

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'4"

160.02 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Livinha Souza

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Chambers · Sep 18

vs Sarah Frota · Feb 19

vs Brianna Van Buren · Jul 19

vs Ashley Yoder · Aug 20

KOvs Amanda Lemos · Mar 21

latest

Randa MarkosL4 streak

oldest →

vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 19

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20

vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20

vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Livinha SouzaMetricRanda Markos

1.75

Strikes / min

2.97

3.60

Strikes absorbed / min

3.10

56%

Strike defense

58%

2.54

TDs / 15 min

1.12

40%

Takedown defense

52%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.85Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Livinha SouzaRanda Markos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Livinha Souza(6 fights)Randa Markos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -83.5|Blue +83.5

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Livinha SouzaTargetRanda Markos

By target zone

30% acc · 64%

Head

65% acc · 85%

100% acc · 27%

Body

88% acc · 11%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

30% acc · 55%

Distance

53% acc · 45%

60% acc · 27%

Clinch

80% acc · 31%

100% acc · 18%

Ground

100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Livinha Souza rounds

even

Randa Markos rounds

Round 1Randa Markos edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control1:43

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:10Control

Round 2Randa Markos edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control1:31

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:00Control

Round 3Randa Markos edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control0:17

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 27

Sig Strikes

65 / 96

43%

Sig Str %

68.3%

51 / 71

Total Strikes

159 / 207

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

61%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:31

Ctrl Time

8:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Randa Markos	21 / 36	40 / 61	0 / 0	0
1	Livinha Souza	3 / 7	24 / 29	1 / 3	2
2	Randa Markos	12 / 16	50 / 62	0 / 0	0
2	Livinha Souza	2 / 4	17 / 21	1 / 2	0
3	Randa Markos	32 / 44	69 / 84	0 / 0	0
3	Livinha Souza	6 / 16	10 / 21	1 / 1	0

Livinha Souza

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights6

Randa Markos

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights17