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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Brianna Van Buren won · U-DEC R3
Elo1410
Elo1492

Livinha SouzavsBrianna Van BurenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · Saturday, July 13, 2019Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Brianna Van Buren won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Livinha Souza wins(50.7%)

Actual result: Brianna Van Buren wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Livinha Souza at -115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Brianna Van Buren (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Livinha Souza
Red Corner
VS
Brianna Van Buren
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1410
Elo
1492
35
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'0"
160.02 cm
Reach
157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Livinha SouzaL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Alex Chambers · Sep 18
W
vs Sarah Frota · Feb 19
W
vs Ashley Yoder · Aug 20
L
KOvs Amanda Lemos · Mar 21
L
vs Randa Markos · Oct 21
latest
Brianna Van Buren
oldest →
L
vs Tecia Torres · Jun 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Livinha SouzaMetricBrianna Van Buren
1.75
Strikes / min
—
3.60
Strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
Strike defense
—
2.54
TDs / 15 min
—
40%
Takedown defense
—
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1530 vs 1500Strikes1.8 vs 4.8Takedowns3.4 vs 3.0Sub Atts1.90 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.0
Livinha SouzaBrianna Van Buren

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Livinha Souza(6 fights)Brianna Van Buren(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -82.1|Blue +82.1
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Livinha Souza

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights6

Brianna Van Buren

No profile data.