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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Johnny Munoz won · U-DEC R3

Elo1440

Elo1478

Liudvik SholinianvsJohnny MunozUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Saturday, November 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Johnny Munoz won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Johnny Munoz wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Johnny Munoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Johnny Munoz at -265 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Johnny Munoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Liudvik Sholinian has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Liudvik Sholinian

Red Corner

Johnny Munoz

Blue Corner

+225

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-265

(73%)

1440

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Liudvik Sholinian

oldest →

vs Jack Shore · Sep 21

latest

Johnny MunozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Nate Maness · Aug 20

SUBvs Jamey Simmons · Aug 21

KOvs Tony Gravely · Jun 22

vs Daniel Santos · Jun 23

vs Aoriqileng · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Liudvik SholinianMetricJohnny Munoz

2.50

Strikes / min

2.44

5.67

Strikes absorbed / min

2.66

55%

Strike defense

55%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.40

66%

Takedown defense

45%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.17Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap-0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Liudvik SholinianJohnny Munoz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Liudvik Sholinian(2 fights)Johnny Munoz(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -38.5|Blue +38.5

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +273.0|Blue -273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Liudvik SholinianTargetJohnny Munoz

By target zone

31% acc · 75%

Head

28% acc · 71%

92% acc · 21%

Body

80% acc · 21%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

64% acc · 9%

By position

32% acc · 82%

Distance

33% acc · 92%

100% acc · 13%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Liudvik Sholinian rounds

even

Johnny Munoz rounds

Round 1Johnny Munoz edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Johnny Munoz edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control1:30

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:19Control

Round 3Johnny Munoz edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:20Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 152

Sig Strikes

78 / 227

35.3%

Sig Str %

34%

70 / 166

Total Strikes

114 / 270

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 4

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

1:30

Ctrl Time

2:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Johnny Munoz	38 / 94	38 / 94	0 / 0
1	Liudvik Sholinian	21 / 54	21 / 54	0 / 1
2	Johnny Munoz	19 / 51	39 / 74	0 / 1
2	Liudvik Sholinian	9 / 29	15 / 35	0 / 1
3	Johnny Munoz	21 / 82	37 / 102	2 / 3
3	Liudvik Sholinian	26 / 69	34 / 77	0 / 0

Liudvik Sholinian

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights2

Johnny Munoz

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6