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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Liu Pingyuan won · S-DEC R3
Elo1379
Liu Pingyuan
Elo1392
Martin Day

Liu PingyuanvsMartin DayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Saturday, November 24, 2018Beijing, China

Official fight result

Liu Pingyuan won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Liu Pingyuan wins(70.3%)

Actual result: Liu Pingyuan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Liu Pingyuan at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Liu Pingyuan
Red Corner
VS
Martin Day
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
1379
Elo
1392
25
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Liu PingyuanL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Damian Stasiak · Jul 18
L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Jul 19
L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Dec 19
latest
Martin DayL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Davey Grant · Jul 20
L
SUBvs Anderson Dos Santos · Nov 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Liu PingyuanMetricMartin Day
—
Strikes / min
3.97
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.79
—
Strike defense
53%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.72
—
Takedown defense
65%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1500Strikes32.0 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts2.00 vs —Form1.0 vs 0.0
Liu PingyuanMartin Day

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Liu Pingyuan(4 fights)Martin Day(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.8|Blue +12.8
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Liu Pingyuan

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2

Martin Day

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3