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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jonathan Martinez won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1379
Liu Pingyuan
Elo1504

Liu PingyuanvsJonathan MartinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · Saturday, July 13, 2019Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Jonathan Martinez won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:54

Model Prediction: Jonathan Martinez wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Jonathan Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonathan Martinez at +180 American odds

+$180 profit

$280 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Liu Pingyuan
Red Corner
VS
Jonathan Martinez
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
1379
Elo
1504
26
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Liu Pingyuan
oldest →
W
vs Damian Stasiak · Jul 18
W
vs Martin Day · Nov 18
L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Dec 19
latest
Jonathan MartinezL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22
W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23
W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23
L
vs Jose Aldo · May 24
L
vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Liu PingyuanMetricJonathan Martinez
Strikes / min
4.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
Strike defense
56%
TDs / 15 min
0.38
Takedown defense
68%
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1531 vs 1498Strikes2.4 vs 3.7Takedowns0.3 vs 0.5Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.1
Liu PingyuanJonathan Martinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Liu Pingyuan(4 fights)Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -125.0|Blue +125.0
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Liu Pingyuan

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2

Jonathan Martinez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15