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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Mayra Bueno Silva won · SUB R2

Elo1449

Elo1453

Lina LansbergvsMayra Bueno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Saturday, February 18, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mayra Bueno Silva won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:45

Model Prediction: Mayra Bueno Silva wins(79.7%)

Actual result: Mayra Bueno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mayra Bueno Silva at -490 American odds

+$20 profit

$120 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lina Lansberg enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Mayra Bueno Silva has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Lina Lansberg

Red Corner

Mayra Bueno Silva

Blue Corner

+390

(20%)

Vegas Odds

-490

(83%)

1449

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lina LansbergL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tonya Evinger · Jun 19

vs Macy Chiasson · Sep 19

vs Sara McMann · Jan 20

vs Pannie Kianzad · Apr 22

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 22

latest

Mayra Bueno SilvaL5 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Jun 24

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 25

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Nov 25

DECvs Michelle Montague · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lina LansbergMetricMayra Bueno Silva

2.69

Strikes / min

3.52

3.87

Strikes absorbed / min

4.71

44%

Strike defense

51%

0.52

TDs / 15 min

0.46

47%

Takedown defense

64%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.18evenly matched on net striking-1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lina LansbergMayra Bueno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lina Lansberg(10 fights)Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.7|Blue +3.7

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lina LansbergTargetMayra Bueno Silva

By target zone

39% acc · 64%

Head

34% acc · 33%

100% acc · 28%

Body

85% acc · 44%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

82% acc · 23%

By position

42% acc · 72%

Distance

45% acc · 54%

100% acc · 28%

Clinch

85% acc · 28%

Ground

78% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lina Lansberg rounds

even

Mayra Bueno Silva rounds

Round 1Mayra Bueno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:10

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:16Control

Round 2Mayra Bueno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:11

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:53Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 50

Sig Strikes

39 / 69

52%

Sig Str %

59.5%

40 / 72

Total Strikes

58 / 90

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:21

Ctrl Time

5:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	24 / 47	31 / 55	1 / 2	0
1	Lina Lansberg	17 / 36	27 / 52	0 / 0	0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	15 / 22	27 / 35	1 / 1	1
2	Lina Lansberg	8 / 14	13 / 20	0 / 0	0

Lina Lansberg

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights11

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12