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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Aspen Ladd won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1449

Elo1422

Lina LansbergvsAspen LaddUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · Saturday, October 21, 2017Gdansk, Poland

Official fight result

Aspen Ladd won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:33

Model Prediction: Lina Lansberg wins(71.3%)

Actual result: Aspen Ladd wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lina Lansberg at +200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lina Lansberg enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Aspen Ladd has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Lina Lansberg

Red Corner

Aspen Ladd

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-240

(71%)

1449

Elo

1422

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lina LansbergL4 streak

oldest →

vs Macy Chiasson · Sep 19

vs Sara McMann · Jan 20

vs Pannie Kianzad · Apr 22

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 22

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 23

latest

Aspen LaddL2 streak

oldest →

vs Sijara Eubanks · May 19

KOvs Germaine De Randamie · Jul 19

KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Dec 19

vs Norma Dumont · Oct 21

vs Raquel Pennington · Apr 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lina LansbergMetricAspen Ladd

2.69

Strikes / min

3.78

3.87

Strikes absorbed / min

4.65

44%

Strike defense

47%

0.52

TDs / 15 min

1.56

47%

Takedown defense

62%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.18evenly matched on net striking-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lina LansbergAspen Ladd

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lina Lansberg(10 fights)Aspen Ladd(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +27.0|Blue -27.0

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lina LansbergTargetAspen Ladd

By target zone

28% acc · 17%

Head

38% acc · 73%

86% acc · 61%

Body

70% acc · 27%

90% acc · 22%

Leg

By position

30% acc · 17%

Distance

25% acc · 23%

83% acc · 83%

Clinch

67% acc · 31%

Ground

50% acc · 46%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lina Lansberg rounds

even

Aspen Ladd rounds

Round 1Lina Lansberg edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control2:42

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:22Control

Round 2Aspen Ladd edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:02Control

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 64

Sig Strikes

26 / 60

54%

Sig Str %

44.5%

50 / 73

Total Strikes

45 / 84

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:42

Ctrl Time

3:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Aspen Ladd	12 / 23	21 / 32	0 / 0
1	Lina Lansberg	36 / 51	45 / 60	0 / 0
2	Aspen Ladd	14 / 37	24 / 52	1 / 1
2	Lina Lansberg	5 / 13	5 / 13	0 / 0

Lina Lansberg

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights11

Aspen Ladd

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7