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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

JJ Aldrich won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1486

Elo1522

Liang NavsJJ AldrichUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, August 26, 2023Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

JJ Aldrich won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:49

Style matchupLiang Na: WrestlervsJJ Aldrich: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: JJ Aldrich wins(58.5%)

Actual result: JJ Aldrich wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

JJ Aldrich at -535 American odds

+$19 profit

$119 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

JJ Aldrich has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
JJ Aldrich has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Liang Na

Red Corner

JJ Aldrich

Blue Corner

+400

(20%)

Vegas Odds

-535

(84%)

1486

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'5"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Liang NaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Silvana Gomez Juarez · Jun 22

SUBvs Ivana Petrovic · Apr 24

latest

JJ AldrichW2 streak

oldest →

vs Ariane da Silva · Mar 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23

vs Veronica Hardy · May 24

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25

DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Liang NaMetricJJ Aldrich

1.99

Strikes / min

3.92

3.95

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

36%

Strike defense

61%

3.60

TDs / 15 min

0.70

25%

Takedown defense

67%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.96Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Liang NaJJ Aldrich

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Liang Na(3 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -36.0|Blue +36.0

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +273.0|Blue -273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Liang NaTargetJJ Aldrich

By target zone

23% acc · 64%

Head

73% acc · 98%

38% acc · 27%

Body

50% acc · 2%

33% acc · 9%

Leg

By position

25% acc · 82%

Distance

50% acc · 19%

40% acc · 18%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

Ground

82% acc · 79%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Liang Na rounds

even

JJ Aldrich rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control0:56

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 2JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:42

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 41

Sig Strikes

47 / 65

27.5%

Sig Str %

67.5%

27 / 61

Total Strikes

68 / 89

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

83%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:38

Ctrl Time

5:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	JJ Aldrich	11 / 20	18 / 29	0 / 0
1	Liang Na	7 / 28	21 / 45	2 / 3
2	JJ Aldrich	36 / 45	50 / 60	0 / 0
2	Liang Na	4 / 13	6 / 16	1 / 1

Liang Na

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16