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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Sarah Moras won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1411

Elo1394

Liana JojuavsSarah MorasUFC Prediction Result

UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Saturday, September 7, 2019Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Sarah Moras won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:26

Model Prediction: Sarah Moras wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Sarah Moras wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sarah Moras at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sarah Moras enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Liana Jojua has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Sarah Moras has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Liana Jojua

Red Corner

Sarah Moras

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1411

Elo

1394

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

157.48 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Liana JojuaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Jul 20

KOvs Miranda Maverick · Oct 20

vs Cortney Casey · Nov 21

latest

Sarah MorasL5 streak

oldest →

vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 18

vs Talita Bernardo · Oct 18

KOvs Macy Chiasson · May 19

vs Sijara Eubanks · May 20

vs Vanessa Melo · Jan 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Liana JojuaMetricSarah Moras

2.42

Strikes / min

2.28

5.32

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

54%

Strike defense

50%

1.71

TDs / 15 min

0.67

50%

Takedown defense

33%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.90Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap-1.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Liana JojuaSarah Moras

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Liana Jojua(4 fights)Sarah Moras(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.1|Blue -17.1

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Liana JojuaTargetSarah Moras

By target zone

32% acc · 63%

Head

45% acc · 80%

100% acc · 32%

Body

86% acc · 14%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

39% acc · 84%

Distance

31% acc · 36%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

67% acc · 11%

Ground

77% acc · 61%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Liana Jojua rounds

even

Sarah Moras rounds

Round 1Sarah Moras edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:57Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control1:02

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:01Control

Round 3Sarah Moras edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control1:18

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 45

Sig Strikes

44 / 88

61.3%

Sig Str %

49.3%

45 / 77

Total Strikes

130 / 191

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:20

Ctrl Time

6:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sarah Moras	12 / 35	51 / 79	0 / 0	0
1	Liana Jojua	9 / 26	20 / 37	0 / 0	0
2	Sarah Moras	9 / 22	41 / 60	0 / 0	1
2	Liana Jojua	9 / 18	21 / 35	1 / 1	0
3	Sarah Moras	23 / 31	38 / 52	0 / 0	0
3	Liana Jojua	1 / 1	4 / 5	1 / 2	0

Liana Jojua

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights4

Sarah Moras

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9