Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Miranda Maverick won · KO/TKO

Elo1411

Elo1513

Liana JojuavsMiranda MaverickUFC Prediction Result

UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · Saturday, October 24, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Miranda Maverick won

KO/TKO

Style matchupLiana Jojua: Submission grapplervsMiranda Maverick: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Liana Jojua wins(80.6%)

Actual result: Miranda Maverick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Liana Jojua at +295 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Miranda Maverick (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Liana Jojua

Red Corner

Miranda Maverick

Blue Corner

+295

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-400

(80%)

1411

Elo

1513

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'4"

Height

5'3"

157.48 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Liana Jojua

oldest →

KOvs Sarah Moras · Sep 19

SUBvs Diana Belbita · Jul 20

vs Cortney Casey · Nov 21

latest

Miranda Maverick

oldest →

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jul 23

vs Andrea Lee · Feb 24

vs Dione Barbosa · Jul 24

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Liana JojuaMetricMiranda Maverick

2.42

Strikes / min

3.22

5.32

Strikes absorbed / min

2.25

54%

Strike defense

61%

1.71

TDs / 15 min

2.16

50%

Takedown defense

45%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.90Δ 3.87 — meaningful gap+0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Liana JojuaMiranda Maverick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Liana Jojua(4 fights)Miranda Maverick(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -101.5|Blue +101.5

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -18.0|Blue +18.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Liana JojuaTargetMiranda Maverick

By target zone

37% acc · 87%

Head

38% acc · 51%

50% acc · 13%

Body

71% acc · 31%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 18%

By position

38% acc · 100%

Distance

52% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Liana Jojua rounds

even

Miranda Maverick rounds

Round 1Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

49Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 80

Sig Strikes

49 / 95

37%

Sig Str %

51%

30 / 80

Total Strikes

49 / 95

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Miranda Maverick	49 / 95	49 / 95	0 / 0	0
1	Liana Jojua	30 / 80	30 / 80	0 / 0	0

Liana Jojua

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights4

Miranda Maverick

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13