Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Li Jingliang won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1495
Li Jingliang
Elo1491
Zak Ottow

Li JingliangvsZak OttowUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · Saturday, November 25, 2017Shanghai, Hebei, China

Official fight result

Li Jingliang won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:57

Style matchupLi Jingliang: Pressure fightervsZak Ottow: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Zak Ottow wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Li Jingliang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zak Ottow at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Li Jingliang is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Zak Ottow has lost 75% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Li Jingliang
Red Corner
VS
Zak Ottow
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1495
Elo
1491
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Li JingliangL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21
L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22
L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24
latest
Zak Ottow
oldest →
W
vs Kiichi Kunimoto · Jun 17
W
KOvs Mike Pyle · Mar 18
L
KOvs Sage Northcutt · Jul 18
W
vs Dwight Grant · Dec 18
L
KOvs Alex Morono · Mar 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Li JingliangMetricZak Ottow
4.46
Strikes / min
2.63
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
2.73
56%
Strike defense
58%
1.19
TDs / 15 min
0.97
60%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1521Strikes39.8 vs 48.7Takedowns1.0 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.33Form0.7 vs 0.5
Li JingliangZak Ottow

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Li Jingliang(10 fights)Zak Ottow(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Li JingliangTargetZak Ottow

By target zone

15
39% acc · 58%
Head
2
17% acc · 40%
1
100% acc · 4%
Body
0
0% acc
10
91% acc · 38%
Leg
3
100% acc · 60%

By position

17
46% acc · 65%
Distance
5
29% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
9
69% acc · 35%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Li Jingliang rounds
0
even
0
Zak Ottow rounds
Round 1Li Jingliang edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
26 / 50
Sig Strikes
5 / 17
52%
Sig Str %
29%
27 / 51
Total Strikes
5 / 17
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:13
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Zak Ottow5 / 175 / 170 / 00
1Li Jingliang26 / 5027 / 510 / 00

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17

Zak Ottow

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8