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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Li Jingliang won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1495
Li Jingliang
Elo1507
Muslim Salikhov

Li JingliangvsMuslim SalikhovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 16, 2022Elmont, New York, USA

Official fight result

Li Jingliang won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:38

Style matchupLi Jingliang: Pressure fightervsMuslim Salikhov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Muslim Salikhov wins(60.2%)

Actual result: Li Jingliang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Muslim Salikhov at -155 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Li Jingliang enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Li Jingliang is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Muslim Salikhov has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Li Jingliang
Red Corner
VS
Muslim Salikhov
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
1495
Elo
1507
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Li JingliangL3 streak
oldest →
L
DECvs Neil Magny · Mar 20
W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21
L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22
L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24
latest
Muslim Salikhov
oldest →
L
KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24
W
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24
W
KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24
W
KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25
L
KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Li JingliangMetricMuslim Salikhov
4.46
Strikes / min
3.37
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
56%
Strike defense
62%
1.19
TDs / 15 min
1.07
60%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1564 vs 1586Strikes4.5 vs 3.3Takedowns1.2 vs 1.1Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs 1.1
Li JingliangMuslim Salikhov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Li Jingliang(10 fights)Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.6|Blue +12.6
Recent Form
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Li JingliangTargetMuslim Salikhov

By target zone

13
27% acc · 34%
Head
18
38% acc · 78%
12
67% acc · 32%
Body
3
50% acc · 13%
13
65% acc · 34%
Leg
2
100% acc · 9%

By position

30
40% acc · 79%
Distance
20
39% acc · 87%
6
75% acc · 16%
Clinch
0
0% acc
2
50% acc · 5%
Ground
3
75% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Li Jingliang rounds
0
even
1
Muslim Salikhov rounds
Round 1Muslim Salikhov edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:07Control
Round 2Li Jingliang edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:30
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
38 / 87
Sig Strikes
23 / 56
41%
Sig Str %
42.5%
40 / 91
Total Strikes
33 / 67
1 / 2
TDs
1 / 4
50%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:30
Ctrl Time
1:10

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Muslim Salikhov11 / 2221 / 331 / 10
1Li Jingliang11 / 3612 / 370 / 10
2Muslim Salikhov12 / 3412 / 340 / 30
2Li Jingliang27 / 5128 / 541 / 10

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14