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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Li Jingliang won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1495
Li Jingliang
Elo1403

Li JingliangvsDhiego LimaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · Saturday, May 16, 2015Manila, Philippines

Official fight result

Li Jingliang won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:25

Style matchupLi Jingliang: Pressure fightervsDhiego Lima: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Li Jingliang wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Li Jingliang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Li Jingliang at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Li Jingliang is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Dhiego Lima has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Dhiego Lima has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Li Jingliang
Red Corner
VS
Dhiego Lima
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
1495
Elo
1403
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Li JingliangL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21
L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22
L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24
latest
Dhiego LimaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 18
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 19
W
vs Luke Jumeau · Oct 19
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21
L
KOvs Matt Brown · Jun 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Li JingliangMetricDhiego Lima
4.46
Strikes / min
3.12
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
56%
Strike defense
58%
1.19
TDs / 15 min
1.26
60%
Takedown defense
73%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1483Strikes52.0 vs 27.3Takedowns2.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.33Form-0.2 vs -0.3
Li JingliangDhiego Lima

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Li Jingliang(10 fights)Dhiego Lima(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +92.3|Blue -92.3
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Li JingliangTargetDhiego Lima

By target zone

13
34% acc · 100%
Head
5
36% acc · 83%
0
Body
1
50% acc · 17%
0
0% acc
Leg
0

By position

4
17% acc · 31%
Distance
6
38% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
9
60% acc · 69%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Li Jingliang rounds
0
even
0
Dhiego Lima rounds
Round 1Li Jingliang edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
13 / 39
Sig Strikes
6 / 16
33%
Sig Str %
37%
13 / 39
Total Strikes
6 / 16
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:12
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dhiego Lima6 / 166 / 160 / 00
1Li Jingliang13 / 3913 / 390 / 00

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17

Dhiego Lima

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11