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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Li Jingliang won · Decision R3

Elo1495

Elo1366

Li JingliangvsDaichi AbeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Saturday, June 23, 2018Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Li Jingliang won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLi Jingliang: Pressure fightervsDaichi Abe: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Li Jingliang wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Li Jingliang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Li Jingliang at -245 American odds

+$41 profit

$141 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Li Jingliang has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Li Jingliang

Red Corner

Daichi Abe

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+205

(33%)

1495

Elo

1366

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Li JingliangL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21

SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21

KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22

KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24

latest

Daichi Abe

oldest →

vs Hyun Gyu Lim · Sep 17

vs Luke Jumeau · Feb 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Li JingliangMetricDaichi Abe

4.46

Strikes / min

3.80

3.95

Strikes absorbed / min

4.49

56%

Strike defense

56%

1.19

TDs / 15 min

0.33

60%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.51Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Li JingliangDaichi Abe

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Li Jingliang(10 fights)Daichi Abe(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +128.9|Blue -128.9

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Li JingliangTargetDaichi Abe

By target zone

29% acc · 33%

Head

20% acc · 53%

57% acc · 14%

Body

17% acc · 2%

71% acc · 53%

Leg

80% acc · 44%

By position

46% acc · 99%

Distance

29% acc · 100%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Li Jingliang rounds

even

Daichi Abe rounds

Round 1Li Jingliang edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Li Jingliang edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Li Jingliang edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

96 / 206

Sig Strikes

45 / 154

47%

Sig Str %

28.7%

96 / 206

Total Strikes

45 / 154

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Daichi Abe	20 / 53	20 / 53	0 / 0
1	Li Jingliang	35 / 58	35 / 58	0 / 0
2	Daichi Abe	14 / 51	14 / 51	0 / 0
2	Li Jingliang	34 / 81	34 / 81	0 / 0
3	Daichi Abe	11 / 50	11 / 50	0 / 0
3	Li Jingliang	27 / 67	27 / 67	0 / 0

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17

Daichi Abe

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3