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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Li Jingliang won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1495
Li Jingliang
Elo1357

Li JingliangvsAnton ZafirUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · Friday, July 8, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Li Jingliang won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:46

Style matchupLi Jingliang: Pressure fightervsAnton Zafir: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Li Jingliang wins(63.0%)

Actual result: Li Jingliang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Li Jingliang at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Li Jingliang is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Anton Zafir has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Li Jingliang has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Li Jingliang
Red Corner
VS
Anton Zafir
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
1495
Elo
1357
38
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Li JingliangL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21
L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22
L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24
latest
Anton Zafir
oldest →
L
KOvs James Moontasri · Nov 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Li JingliangMetricAnton Zafir
4.46
Strikes / min
2.99
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
2.31
56%
Strike defense
52%
1.19
TDs / 15 min
6.11
60%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.68

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1498 vs 1481Strikes49.0 vs 17.0Takedowns1.3 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs -1.0
Li JingliangAnton Zafir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Li Jingliang(10 fights)Anton Zafir(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +137.5|Blue -137.5
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Li JingliangTargetAnton Zafir

By target zone

5
38% acc · 83%
Head
1
20% acc · 20%
0
0% acc
Body
1
100% acc · 20%
1
100% acc · 17%
Leg
3
100% acc · 60%

By position

1
10% acc · 17%
Distance
4
50% acc · 80%
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 20%
5
100% acc · 83%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Li Jingliang rounds
0
even
1
Anton Zafir rounds
Round 1Anton Zafir edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:20
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:21Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
6 / 15
Sig Strikes
5 / 9
40%
Sig Str %
55%
11 / 20
Total Strikes
15 / 19
1 / 1
TDs
2 / 2
100%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:20
Ctrl Time
1:21

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Anton Zafir5 / 915 / 192 / 20
1Li Jingliang6 / 1511 / 201 / 10

Li Jingliang

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17

Anton Zafir

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights2