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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Felipe Franco won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1474

Levi Rodrigues Jr. editorial illustration

Elo1512

Levi Rodrigues Jr.vsFelipe FrancoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Saturday, July 18, 2026Oklahoma City, USA

Official fight result

Felipe Franco won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:40

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Levi Rodrigues Jr.

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Levi Rodrigues Jr. at -146 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Style matchupLevi Rodrigues Jr.: StrikervsFelipe Franco: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Felipe Franco has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Levi Rodrigues Jr.

Red Corner

Felipe Franco

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+122

(45%)

1474

Elo

1512

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Levi Rodrigues Jr.No prior UFC fights on record.

Felipe Franco

oldest →

vs Mario Pinto · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Levi Rodrigues Jr.MetricFelipe Franco

4.50

Strikes / min

1.81

2.10

Strikes absorbed / min

2.55

22%

Strike defense

38%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

3.02

100%

Takedown defense

87%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.40Δ 3.14 — meaningful gap-0.74

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Levi Rodrigues Jr.(1 fights)Felipe Franco(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -38.2|Blue +38.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Levi Rodrigues Jr.TargetFelipe Franco

By target zone

26% acc · 64%

Head

69% acc · 97%

Body

100% acc · 3%

80% acc · 36%

Leg

By position

34% acc · 100%

Distance

60% acc · 31%

Clinch

Ground

75% acc · 69%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Levi Rodrigues Jr. rounds

even

Felipe Franco rounds

Round 1Felipe Franco edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:27Control

Round 2Felipe Franco edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 32

Sig Strikes

39 / 56

19.5%

Sig Str %

69%

26 / 52

Total Strikes

52 / 72

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 6

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

3:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Felipe Franco	16 / 25	25 / 37	2 / 4
1	Levi Rodrigues Jr.	11 / 28	26 / 48	0 / 0
2	Felipe Franco	23 / 31	27 / 35	1 / 2
2	Levi Rodrigues Jr.	0 / 4	0 / 4	0 / 0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Levi Rodrigues Jr.

Odds

-146

Market-implied probability

Levi Rodrigues Jr. 57%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Levi Rodrigues Jr. (model pick · research)$168

Felipe Franco$223

57% market-implied · model 51% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -146 · never rewritten

Levi Rodrigues Jr.

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights1

Felipe Franco

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights2