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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Leslie Smith won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1488

Leslie SmithvsAmanda LemosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Sunday, July 16, 2017Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Leslie Smith won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:53

Style matchupLeslie Smith: Pressure fightervsAmanda Lemos: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Leslie Smith wins(58.0%)

Actual result: Leslie Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leslie Smith at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Leslie Smith

Red Corner

Amanda Lemos

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1491

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'4"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Leslie Smith

oldest →

KOvs Jessamyn Duke · Jul 14

KOvs Jessica Eye · Nov 14

vs Rin Nakai · Mar 16

KOvs Cris Cyborg · May 16

vs Irene Aldana · Dec 16

latest

Amanda LemosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24

SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25

vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25

vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Leslie SmithMetricAmanda Lemos

7.56

Strikes / min

2.75

8.41

Strikes absorbed / min

3.01

51%

Strike defense

45%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.02

62%

Takedown defense

63%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.85evenly matched on net striking-0.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Leslie SmithAmanda Lemos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Leslie Smith(7 fights)Amanda Lemos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.5|Blue -2.5

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -47.1|Blue +47.1

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Leslie SmithTargetAmanda Lemos

By target zone

47% acc · 73%

Head

57% acc · 63%

77% acc · 20%

Body

74% acc · 21%

78% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 16%

By position

40% acc · 46%

Distance

60% acc · 81%

72% acc · 53%

Clinch

87% acc · 19%

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Leslie Smith rounds

even

Amanda Lemos rounds

Round 1Amanda Lemos edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control1:11

41Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 2Leslie Smith edged it

Sig. strikes64

Takedowns0

Control0:17

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

101 / 192

Sig Strikes

68 / 106

51.5%

Sig Str %

64%

114 / 207

Total Strikes

70 / 108

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:28

Ctrl Time

0:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Amanda Lemos	41 / 64	42 / 65	1 / 1
1	Leslie Smith	37 / 76	45 / 84	0 / 0
2	Amanda Lemos	27 / 42	28 / 43	0 / 0
2	Leslie Smith	64 / 116	69 / 123	0 / 0

Leslie Smith

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7

Amanda Lemos

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights15