Welterweight

3 Rounds

Leandro Silva won · U-DEC R3

Elo1358

Elo1490

Leandro SilvavsLewis GonzalezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · Saturday, June 27, 2015Hollywood, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Leandro Silva won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Leandro Silva wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Leandro Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leandro Silva at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Leandro Silva has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Leandro Silva

Red Corner

Lewis Gonzalez

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1358

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Leandro SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 14

SUBvs Charlie Brenneman · Nov 14

vs Efrain Escudero · Nov 15

vs Jason Saggo · Jun 16

vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 16

latest

Lewis GonzalezNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Leandro SilvaMetricLewis Gonzalez

2.39

Strikes / min

1.40

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

1.87

63%

Strike defense

41%

1.76

TDs / 15 min

2.00

65%

Takedown defense

62%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.31evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Leandro SilvaLewis Gonzalez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Leandro Silva(7 fights)Lewis Gonzalez(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -132.5|Blue +132.5

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.0|Blue +48.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Leandro SilvaTargetLewis Gonzalez

By target zone

52% acc · 54%

Head

25% acc · 48%

67% acc · 29%

Body

60% acc · 29%

71% acc · 18%

Leg

83% acc · 24%

By position

54% acc · 79%

Distance

23% acc · 38%

86% acc · 21%

Clinch

62% acc · 38%

Ground

63% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Leandro Silva rounds

even

Lewis Gonzalez rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control0:38

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:00Control

Round 2Leandro Silva edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:18

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:57Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:50

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:42Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 48

Sig Strikes

21 / 56

58.3%

Sig Str %

37.7%

55 / 76

Total Strikes

53 / 93

3 / 8

TDs

2 / 6

27.7%

TD %

22%

Sub Att

Rev

3:46

Ctrl Time

4:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lewis Gonzalez	5 / 12	16 / 27	2 / 3
1	Leandro Silva	7 / 12	8 / 13	2 / 4
2	Lewis Gonzalez	6 / 16	18 / 28	0 / 2
2	Leandro Silva	8 / 13	23 / 29	1 / 3
3	Lewis Gonzalez	10 / 28	19 / 38	0 / 1
3	Leandro Silva	13 / 23	24 / 34	0 / 1

Leandro Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7

Lewis Gonzalez

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights1