← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Leandro Silva won · SUB R1

Elo1358

Elo1354

Leandro SilvavsCharlie BrennemanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · Saturday, November 8, 2014Uberlandia, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Leandro Silva won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:15

Model Prediction: Leandro Silva wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Leandro Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leandro Silva at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charlie Brenneman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Leandro Silva has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Leandro Silva

Red Corner

Charlie Brenneman

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1358

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Leandro SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 14

vs Lewis Gonzalez · Jun 15

vs Efrain Escudero · Nov 15

vs Jason Saggo · Jun 16

vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 16

latest

Charlie BrennemanL4 streak

oldest →

vs Daniel Roberts · Jan 12

SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12

KOvs Kyle Noke · Sep 12

SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14

KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Leandro SilvaMetricCharlie Brenneman

2.39

Strikes / min

1.52

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

1.55

63%

Strike defense

46%

1.76

TDs / 15 min

4.23

65%

Takedown defense

72%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.31evenly matched on net striking-0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Leandro SilvaCharlie Brenneman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Leandro Silva(7 fights)Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.1|Blue -4.1

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -140.0|Blue +140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Leandro SilvaTargetCharlie Brenneman

By target zone

40% acc · 50%

Head

25% acc · 25%

67% acc · 50%

Body

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 75%

By position

50% acc · 100%

Distance

38% acc · 75%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Leandro Silva rounds

even

Charlie Brenneman rounds

Round 1Charlie Brenneman edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control1:04

4Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:22Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 8

Sig Strikes

4 / 9

50%

Sig Str %

44%

12 / 16

Total Strikes

9 / 16

1 / 1

TDs

3 / 8

100%

TD %

37%

Sub Att

Rev

1:04

Ctrl Time

2:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Charlie Brenneman	4 / 9	9 / 16	3 / 8	0
1	Leandro Silva	4 / 8	12 / 16	1 / 1	1

Leandro Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights7

Charlie Brenneman

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11