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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Leandro Issa won · Submission R2
Elo1358
Leandro Issa
Elo1491

Leandro IssavsUlka SasakiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · Saturday, December 20, 2014Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Leandro Issa won

Submission · Round 2 · 4:13

Model Prediction: Leandro Issa wins(63.1%)

Actual result: Leandro Issa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leandro Issa at +420 American odds

+$420 profit

$520 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Leandro Issa threatens submissions; Ulka Sasaki has lost 60% of fights by sub.
  • Ulka Sasaki threatens submissions; Leandro Issa has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Ulka Sasaki (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Leandro Issa
Red Corner
VS
Ulka Sasaki
Blue Corner
+420
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-475
(83%)
1358
Elo
1491
42
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Leandro IssaL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Russell Doane · Jan 14
W
SUBvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Jul 14
L
vs Iuri Alcantara · Aug 15
L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 16
latest
Ulka Sasaki
oldest →
L
DECvs Wilson Reis · Feb 17
W
SUBvs Justin Scoggins · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Sep 17
W
SUBvs Jenel Lausa · Jun 18
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Nov 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Leandro IssaMetricUlka Sasaki
2.08
Strikes / min
—
3.17
Strikes absorbed / min
—
58%
Strike defense
—
2.38
TDs / 15 min
—
50%
Takedown defense
—
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1517Strikes30.5 vs 5.0Takedowns2.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts2.00 vs 1.00Form0.2 vs 1.0
Leandro IssaUlka Sasaki

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Leandro Issa(5 fights)Ulka Sasaki(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -133.4|Blue +133.4
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Leandro Issa

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5

Ulka Sasaki

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1