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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Russell Doane won · SUB R2

Elo1358

Elo1491

Leandro IssavsRussell DoaneUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · Saturday, January 4, 2014Singapore, Singapore

Official fight result

Russell Doane won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:59

Style matchupLeandro Issa: WrestlervsRussell Doane: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Leandro Issa wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Russell Doane wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leandro Issa at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Leandro Issa threatens submissions; Russell Doane has lost 60% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Leandro Issa

Red Corner

Russell Doane

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1358

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Leandro IssaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Jul 14

SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Dec 14

vs Iuri Alcantara · Aug 15

vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 16

latest

Russell Doane

oldest →

vs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 15

SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Jul 16

SUBvs Mirsad Bektic · Oct 16

KOvs Kwan Ho Kwak · Jun 17

SUBvs Rani Yahya · Feb 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Leandro IssaMetricRussell Doane

2.08

Strikes / min

1.75

3.17

Strikes absorbed / min

1.68

58%

Strike defense

53%

2.38

TDs / 15 min

2.11

50%

Takedown defense

52%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.09Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap+0.07

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Leandro Issa(5 fights)Russell Doane(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -133.1|Blue +133.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Leandro IssaTargetRussell Doane

By target zone

27% acc · 71%

Head

47% acc · 88%

25% acc · 6%

Body

100% acc · 7%

80% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

26% acc · 71%

Distance

28% acc · 30%

50% acc · 12%

Clinch

71% acc · 23%

100% acc · 18%

Ground

77% acc · 47%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Leandro Issa rounds

even

Russell Doane rounds

Round 1Russell Doane edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control1:07

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:35Control

Round 2Russell Doane edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:22

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 54

Sig Strikes

43 / 86

30%

Sig Str %

47.5%

18 / 55

Total Strikes

83 / 130

2 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:29

Ctrl Time

4:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Russell Doane	12 / 30	29 / 48	0 / 0	0
1	Leandro Issa	5 / 19	6 / 20	2 / 2	1
2	Russell Doane	31 / 56	54 / 82	0 / 0	1
2	Leandro Issa	12 / 35	12 / 35	0 / 8	0

Leandro Issa

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5

Russell Doane

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8